UK weather

Headline:

Mostly dry, with sunny spells. Temperatures near average.

Today:

Sunny spells and scattered showers through the morning. Showers tending to fade through the afternoon, though a few continuing across the northwest. Winds lighter than Wednesday. Feeling cooler than of late but pleasant in the sunnier moments.

Tonight:

Showers continuing across the northwest of the UK, with longer spells of rain spreading eastwards across northern Scotland. Dry elsewhere, with lengthy clear skies. A rather chilly night to come.

Friday:

A dry and sunny day for much and England and Wales. Cloudier skies across Scotland and Northern Ireland at times, with further rain across northwest Scotland. Warm in the sunshine.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Rain across northern Scotland through the weekend. Warm and sunny elsewhere. Turning hot in the south. Dry for most on Monday with temperatures on the very warm to hot side.

A relatively settled start to the period, with mainly dry conditions on Monday, although with scattered showers across northern areas. Then through the following week, more changeable changeable conditions are likely across northwestern parts, with some spells of rain and stronger winds interspersed by drier periods. Whilst southeastern areas will generally see more settled and drier conditions. Further into August, lower pressure may start to track further south south or east. This means there is a greater chance of frontal systems or thundery interludes to affect southern and eastern areas in comparison to recent weeks, though rainfall amounts could be quite variable with some areas still seeing relatively little. For the most part, temperatures look to remain above average, especially in the south, and perhaps turning very warm or hot.

The broad theme of high pressure remaining in place at least close to the UK seems most probable, with occasional more unsettled or changeable interludes, either resulting from Atlantic frontal systems or thundery plumes. This means that rainfall amounts overall are more likely to be below normal than above. Temperatures will probably be above average and some spells of hot weather and heatwaves are possible, especially in the south.