UK weather

Headline:

Wet end to the weekend, frosty overnight.

Today:

For Wales and southern England, passing showers, possibly thundery in the southwest. Persistent rain at times for southern Scotland and northern England. Brighter and showery in the north and west. Rather cold in the north, but average in the south.

Tonight:

Much of the rain and showers move off to the east, leaving clear spells, allowing temperatures to fall way, below freezing in the north with a widespread rural frost.

Monday:

A mostly dry and bright day on Monday with sunny spells. Sunshine turns hazy into the afternoon with rain moving into the southwest later. Feeling chilly in the east.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Staying unsettled over the next few days with the risk of hill snow for North Wales, northern England and Scotland. Staying cold but temperature returning to average in the south.

A changeable pattern is likely during this period with Atlantic frontal systems spreading across the UK. This means spells of rain and perhaps strong winds will move over the UK at times, with cooler, drier interludes between systems. Rainfall will probably be most frequent in parts of the south and west and some snow is likely in the north at times. Temperatures are expected to be near normal overall, mildest in the south and coldest in the north.

The tracks of low pressure may shift farther south over the North Atlantic into December, as high pressure potentially builds between Scandinavia and Greenland. Whilst there remains some uncertainty over which of these features will have the greater influence on the weather in the UK, some rain is likely at times, particularly across southern areas, whilst northern and especially northwestern parts may become drier than normal. Milder incursions are possible in the south, although this pattern would also bring an increased chance of colder conditions developing, particularly in the north, along with associated winter hazards such as snow and ice.