Weather and climate change

Headline:

A north-south split on Friday. Generally unsettled on Saturday.

This Evening and Tonight:

Increasingly windy as showers in the north are replaced by more persistent rain, this turning heavy at times, particularly across western Scotland. Staying dry in the south with clear spells, some shallow mist and fog likely in the west.

Friday:

Feeling cool with brisk winds and rain in the north on Friday, whilst staying dry and pleasantly warm with sunny spells in the south. Rain eventually spreading southeastwards later.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

A breezy and largely cloudy weekend with spells of rain or showers. Feeling humid on Saturday but fresher and brighter on Sunday. Showers easing on Monday with sunny spells developing.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 3 Jul 2025

Likely a fairly cool start to the period with a few showers still to clear from the east, but for most it should become fine and dry, although some chilly mornings are possible. Through the rest of the week any rain will tend to focus on the north or northwest of the country, with the south becoming predominantly dry. Temperatures are likely to remain close to, perhaps a little below average initially. However through the second half of the week and especially the following weekend there are signs that temperatures will begin to trend up, becoming warm or very warm once again, especially across southern parts of the UK, but perhaps more widely as we head toward the middle of July.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 3 Jul 2025

Changeable conditions with a predominantly northwest to southeast split in temperature and rainfall, and the potential for further occasional episodes of hot weather and thundery outbreaks, are considered likely to gradually give way to something more settled and dry overall through the second half of July. Temperatures are likely to be above average, with the greatest chance of very warm or hot spells in the south or southeast.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 3 Jul 2025