Ahead of this, high pressure is in charge, although it’s not bringing us the high temperatures we have been used to of late. This is because the high is located to the north-west of Scotland, bringing cooler temperatures, cloudier conditions and some showers at times.  

Today (Tuesday) those showers could be heavy and thundery in the far southwest of England this afternoon. 

Inland and western areas will enjoy sunny spells, with the best of the brightness expected in central-southern and south-eastern England, as well as western parts of the UK. Breezy conditions are expected, especially along eastern and southern coastal areas. 

Temperatures will vary, with lower maxima across the south-west due to cloud and showers. Sunnier areas of central-southern and south-eastern England and western UK may reach 23-25°C.  

Midweek: clearing skies but cooler conditions 

As the week progresses, a cold front will move southwards, allowing high pressure to build more widely from the north. This will lead to a gradual clearance of cloud and the arrival of sunnier skies, particularly across northern and eastern parts of the UK on Wednesday. 

Despite the improved brightness, temperatures will remain modest due to the cooler airflow and lower humidity levels. Highs across most of the UK will reach the high teens to low 20s, with mid 20s expected in the south. 

Thursday will begin on a cool note, especially in the northeast of Scotland, where light showers may persist. Elsewhere, dry and bright conditions will dominate. Temperatures will range from the mid-teens in the north to low 20s in southern regions. It will be a noticeably cooler night on Thursday, and could actually be quite chilly for a few places on Friday morning. 

Friday will be a dry and pleasant day, with sunny spells lifting temperatures to around 23 or 24°C in the sunniest locations. 

Bank Holiday weekend weather: settled start, uncertain finish 

As we head into the Bank Holiday weekend, high pressure will continue to dominate, bringing settled and fine weather for Saturday and likely into Sunday.  

However, weak areas of low pressure in the Atlantic may begin to encroach on western parts of the UK later in the weekend, potentially bringing showers.  

How might Hurricane Erin affect UK weather? 

There’s the potential for things to turn more unsettled towards the latter part of the weekend, as we keep a keen eye on the track of Hurricane Erin. Deputy Chief Meteorologist Stephen Kocher explains: “A key feature to watch in the coming days is Hurricane Erin, which is currently a category three storm to the east of the Bahamas.  

“We are closely watching Erin’s track, with the possibility of the UK feeling the effects of what would then be ex-hurricane Erin at some point next week, bringing an area of low pressure to the UK and more unsettled conditions.  

“This is still a week away however, so there is lots of uncertainty in the forecast, but it is possible we could see some wet and windy weather for the last week of August.  

“We’ll be keeping a close eye on the movements of Hurricane Erin over the coming days and updating our forecasts accordingly.” 

READ MORE: Met Office festival forecast: Largely dry with cooler conditions 

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