satellite-image-of-a-tropical-cyclone

Tropical cyclone forecast error charts - southern hemisphere

The graphs below show a variety of measures of forecast errors and forecast skill for the Met Office global model forecasts of tropical cyclones in the southern hemisphere.


For those not familiar with the types of error statistics used in tropical cyclone forecast assessment and their sign conventions a diagrammatic explanation is available.

Southern Hemisphere Direct Positional Error

Southern Hemisphere Track Skill

Southern Hemisphere Direct Positional Error 5-Year Running Mean

Southern Hemisphere Track Skill 5-Year Running Mean

Southern Hemisphere Cross Track Error

Southern Hemisphere Along Track Error

Southern Hemisphere Pressure Bias

Southern Hemisphere Wind Bias

Southern Hemisphere Pressure Mean Absolute Error

Southern Hemisphere Wind Mean Absolute Error


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