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for this type of image. We see that large areas of land to the east of Lakes Michigan, Huron, Erie and Ontario have been affected by snowfall. Western New York State was particularly badly hit, with locations around Buffalo (marked) reporting over 80 inches (around 2 metres) of accumulated snowfall

, and the East Coast Main Line saw services severely disrupted between York and Edinburgh as a result of damage to overhead wires, with similar issues in Yorkshire along the Doncaster to Selby stretch of line. Within Highland and Grampian numerous trees were brought down, causing significant disruption

. Torrential rain across Merseyside and Lancashire led to flooding on some roads, with properties flooded in the Knowsley borough of Merseyside. Flooding also arose on roads and properties around York on the 13th. Additionally there were some power outages, with more than 300 properties without power

of the rivers Avon and Severn. There were also reports of a tree blocking the line between Exeter and Tiverton. In York, the Ouse overtopped with a number of properties flooded as a result. Pembrokeshire also reported road closures due to rain and wind, and a severe flood warning was issued for the River

, and in Gloucestershire, Tewkesbury was particularly badly affected by flooding from the merging of the rivers Avon and Severn. There were also reports of a tree blocking the line between Exeter and Tiverton. In York, the Ouse overtopped with a number of properties flooded as a result. Pembrokeshire

mainly for the south-east which spread as far north as the North York Moors on the evening of the 12th. Elsewhere it was generally dry and sunny. The 14th and 15th were generally sunny and warm away from coasts but rain reached the far north by the evening of the 15th. The rain belt spread slowly south

, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pp, doi:10.1017/CBO9781107415324. Taylor, K.E., R.J. Stouffer, and G.A. Meehl, 2012: An Overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design.” Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 485-498, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11- 00094.1. © Crown copyright 2015 23

°C +1.7 °C +4.6 °C +3.8 °C Baseline (1981-1999) 2021-2039 2061-2079 *BBC (2019): https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-york-north-yorkshire-62204696 ** UKHSA (2021): https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/heat-mortality-monitoring-reports/heat-mortality-monitoring-report-2021 ***Projections

://www.snh.org.uk/publications/on-line/advisorynotes/21/21.htm [Accessed 14 Sep. 2017] Tucker, G, Lancaster, S, Gasparini, N, Bras, R. (2001). The Channel- Hillslope Integrated Landscape Development Model (CHILD). Landscape Erosion and Evolution Modeling. ed. New York: Springer US, 349-388. Tyndall Centre

counties, some turning thundery late in the afternoon. Fog along many southern coasts on the 7th cleared by midmorning, but there were showers through the east Midlands and parts of the north, with thunderstorms developing over Lincolnshire and over the North York Moors during the afternoon. The north