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increases in winter mean precipitation may be revised upwards. However, in general the 2.2km projections reinforce the UKCP results in terms of seasonal-mean changes. The 1 st number in the range, is the average result from RCP 4.5. To capture more extreme projections, the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where

Model Over South Africa”. Work Package 2: Strengthening Institutional Capability Support operational tools enhancement at SAWS Achievements so far: • The project has supported SAWS in the training and set up of the statistics software SPSS, which can be used for verification of solar forecasts

Deeper discovery Emotion line graphs 1 2 3 If your group is new to the concept of climate change, you can start by asking them what they know about it. Explain that climate change is the long-term shift in average weather patterns across the world. Since the mid-1800s, humans have contributed

climate drivers (e.g. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)) affected model skill in predicting precipitation variability. 2) Assess the skill of seasonal models during two major monsoon seasons (summer monsoon July-September, winter monsoon October-December

. In particular, upper end increases in winter mean precipitation may be revised upwards. However, in general the 2.2km projections reinforce the UKCP results in terms of seasonal-mean changes. The 1 st number in the range, is the average result from RCP 4.5. To capture more extreme projections, the 2 nd number

). It is 1.95 million sq km below the 1981-2010 average, and 0.89 million sq km above the record low minimum of 2012. It is quite close to the long-term linear trend (Figure 2). Figure 1. Daily Arctic sea ice extent for 2024, compared with recent years and the 1981-2010 average, with interquartile

1979) and is 1.43 million sq km below the 1981-2010 average (Figure 2). Notably, this is a slightly different ranking to that of the Sea Ice Index maintained by the [US] National Snow and Ice Data Center, for which the 2025 minimum is joint 10th lowest. Uncertainty in ranking the current year

are Arriving Later. Linked to: ● Hemispheric Scale: Changes in Hadley cell seasonality ● Continental Scale: Decline of crucial rain-bearing systems – Tropical Extratropical Cloud Bands • Local Scale land surface: Less evapotranspiration in warmer CO 2 world Talk's Aim: To show how family of Unified Model

Out of Framework Scope 1. Contract For Services 2. Co- Sponsorship 3. Non Procurement Route Joint Chair Services funded by RPMOAP Governance, oversight, SLAs Project work with MOAP funded by Science R&I theme deliverables Up to 8 MOAP Partners Contributions to research: e.g. research posts funded

and communicating data • Mathematics and numeracy – probability and percentages • Art and design/expressive arts – storytelling 2 Forecasting fact-busters | Forecasting and prediction Activity steps 01 To start the lesson, introduce your class to weather and reporting by setting up a carousel activity with four