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to April Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Over the past three months, in West Africa rainfall was mostly near-normal though Cameroon and Nigeria were dry or very dry in August and September. DRC was very dry over the last three months

likely for many places although occasional cold snaps are possible during February and March. Across the Caribbean, temperatures are very likely to be above normal. Meanwhile, near normal temperature are expected across northern parts of South America. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Temperature Much

and April. In Southeast Asia, many areas were wet or very wet during February to April. Outlook: Over the next three months India, Pakistan, Nepal and Bangladesh are likely to be wetter than normal due to a more active South Asian monsoon. There are also indications of an earlier than normal onset

and May, and very locally in June. Outlook: Consistent with La Niña conditions, many areas are much more likely to experience above normal temperatures over the next three months; in particular, Indonesia and Southeast Asia. Near-normal conditions are likely across parts of India. 3-Month Outlook

to cold, locally very cold spread to other parts of southern and eastern Asia, particularly India, Indochina and southern and eastern China. Much of central Asia continued to experience warm to hot temperatures through much of May. Outlook: Over the next three months, the majority of the continent

exception to this is likely to be over parts of northern South America, where colder than normal conditions are likely – this is consistent with impacts from the ongoing La Niña event. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely

Current Status Cold Cool Normal Mixed Warm Hot Outlook Much more likely to be colder than normal Likely to be colder than normal Likely to be near-normal Mixed Likely to be warmer than normal Much more likely to be warmer than normal Climatological odds - see note Current Status Very Dry Dry Normal

areas are likely to be warmer, or very likely to be warmer than normal through the next three months. However, parts of Central America and northern South America are likely to be colder than normal. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely

, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-ninola-nina/enso-impacts Indian Ocean

in eastern Scotland. Yellow warnings have been issued through the weekend here as after a three day spell of very wet weather across this region, a further spell of persistent and at times heavy rain is expected before easing during Saturday night. Many places are likely to see a further 20-30 mm of rain