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with tropical cyclones and sea level rise. Working together with the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), the project involved downscaling CMIP5 global climate models, using the Met Office regional climate model HadGEM3-RA, as well as communicating

the recent lack of surface warming solely by reductions in the total energy received by the planet, i.e. the balance between the total solar energy entering the system and the thermal energy leaving it. Observations of ocean heat content and of sea-level rise suggest that the additional heat from

models, the project is also studying how climate change is affecting extreme events such as heatwaves, drought and floods, as well as providing new insight on sea-level rise. Science is being driven by the needs of different sectors, and investigation across multiple hazards (including compound

flows in times of drought. Inter-tidal habitats, while providing refuges for wildlife, also increase the resilience of coastal communities to storm surges and sea level rise. Therefore, by supporting our wildlife and habitats we are also helping to build the resilience of the communities

models, we include sea ice changes and teleconnections. We aim to improve model accuracy in representing these relationships. For Greenland and ice sheets, this involves sea level rise projections and understanding impacts on the Atlantic circulation. Collaborative efforts with the Environment Agency

This project created a set of ‘high impact’ scenarios or storylines, representing plausible high-consequence but low-likelihood future climates. The scenarios will define hot, cold, wet and dry extremes, windstorms, sea level rise and compound events. Find out more Met Office Climate Science Conference - May

Africa. In sea-level rise work, there have been discussions and collaborations initiated between the WCSSP SA programme and both South African National Parks (with a focus on climate assessment for marine national parks) and ESKOM (with a focus on sea level rise assessments for nuclear facility planning

flooding ............................................ 104 4.4.3 Risks associated with heat extremes ............................................................... 105 4.4.4 Risks from sea-level rise and coastal hazards ............................................... 105 4.4.5 Risks associated with wind

. This variability is projected to increase resulting in more frequent wetter and drier years and a higher risk of flood and drought events. • The frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events is also projected to increase. Oceans • Sea levels have been rising and are projected to rise by around 0.3m

threshold. This threshold suggests that if freshwater input exceeds a certain volume, the AMOC could weaken and collapse into a state of reduced flow 9 . What impacts might be expected if the threshold were crossed? An AMOC shutdown would cause cooling of the northern hemisphere (Fig. 2), sea level