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climatology. Green and dark green shading represent values above the 80th (Wet) and 90th (Very Wet) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark brown indicate rainfall below the 20th (Dry) and 10th (Very Dry) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. Grey areas on the map mask

Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: August to May Overview 3 Asia Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Pakistan was very wet in August, and parts of India and Southeast Asia have been wet or very wet during the last three months. Conditions have been mixed over China

Current Status: During March to May, many parts of East Africa experience dry or very dry conditions during their seasonal ‘Long Rains’; for some regions this was the fourth failed or poor rainy season. On 30 May 2022, the Food and Agriculture Agency of the United Nations (FAO) released a joint

or very likely across the whole continent. 3-Month Outlook March to May - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Between

st Century climate change will very likely weaken the AMOC, but a shutdown in the 21 st Century is very unlikely - though still plausible. • Understanding more about AMOC shutdown ‘tipping points’ could enable early warning, giving time to take action. • Recent advances in monitoring and modelling

, as well as eastern coastal areas. 3-Month Outlook September to November 2020 - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Climate Outlook Africa: May to February Overview 3 Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: The West African

Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: July to April Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: 3-Month Outlook November to January - Rainfall Over the last three months, wet or very wet conditions have been observed across parts of West Africa

Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Central parts of Africa have often been dry or very dry over the past three months. East Africa has seen wet conditions at times, especially in April, with March and May having normal rainfall. 3

low cloud in the south-east and mist and fog patches in the far north had burned off. The 17th was again sunny, and warm or very warm, after early mist and low cloud in East Anglia. The 18th was also sunny and warm or very warm, but cloud increased late in the day with patchy rain for parts

for the future. Very often, these projections show us how the average conditions will change, and many national and international initiatives are based around these. For example, the Paris Agreement aims to limit the global temperature rise this century to 1.5 °C. This is 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial average