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Throughout June high pressure dominated the UK weather bringing more than our normal share of fine sunny days with high temperatures and very little rainfall. Provisional statistics show it is one of the UK's top five warmest Junes (in records dating back to 1910) for both maximum daytime and mean

. Uncertainty in September sea ice extent is still very high at this point in the season. Antarctic sea ice extent remains exceptionally low and has been record low by a very wide margin since late May. Extent is very low across the whole Southern Ocean except for the Amundsen Sea where it is slightly higher

was? • The vast majority (92%) felt that the severe weather warning was useful with over half (52%) feeling as though the warning was very useful. Introduction Background and Objectives The Public Weather Service (PWS) provides a range of weather information and services that allow the public to “optimise

-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) - Although now declining, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial Pacific remain indicative on an ongoing El Niño event. Now past its peak, the current El Niño event is likely to weaken further with a transition to ENSOneutral very likely (85%) in April-June

, rainfall has been near-normal across most of West Africa. Rainfall across East Africa has been largely near-normal, although wetter than normal conditions were experienced in some areas in March and April. Some very wet conditions were observed at times in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique

three months though at this time of year its influence at higher latitudes in the northern hemisphere tends to wane. 3-Month Outlook May to July - Rainfall With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal

the likelihood that premonsoon heatwaves will be more intense than normal. The start of the South Asian Monsoon is expected to be slightly delayed, indicating an increased likelihood of forest fires and very poor air quality. Small parts of southwest Indonesia are likely to have near- to below normal

. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are likely or very likely across all regions. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global

Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: March to December Overview 4 Asia Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Many parts of Indonesia, Papua New Guinea and Timor Leste were wet or very wet over the past three months, while

their research using the links on their extreme weather profile card as a starting point. Use the prompt questions on the slide which include: • What makes a weather event extreme? • How might it affect people? (businesses, infrastructure, school, social lives) • • • • old, very young etc.) • Who should people