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three months though at this time of year its influence at higher latitudes in the northern hemisphere tends to wane. 3-Month Outlook May to July - Rainfall With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal

, rainfall has been near-normal across most of West Africa. Rainfall across East Africa has been largely near-normal, although wetter than normal conditions were experienced in some areas in March and April. Some very wet conditions were observed at times in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique

-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) - Although now declining, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial Pacific remain indicative on an ongoing El Niño event. Now past its peak, the current El Niño event is likely to weaken further with a transition to ENSOneutral very likely (85%) in April-June

the likelihood that premonsoon heatwaves will be more intense than normal. The start of the South Asian Monsoon is expected to be slightly delayed, indicating an increased likelihood of forest fires and very poor air quality. Small parts of southwest Indonesia are likely to have near- to below normal

. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions are likely or very likely across all regions. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global

Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: March to December Overview 4 Asia Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Many parts of Indonesia, Papua New Guinea and Timor Leste were wet or very wet over the past three months, while

as parts of central and northern England, freezing rain is forecast. Chief Meteorologist Will Lang said, “Saturday’s weather brings a range of winter hazards with very dangerous travelling conditions likely in some places.  In addition to snow, freezing rain will bring widespread ice to northern England

Current Status: 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall The latter part of the West Africa Monsoon season was active with many areas wetter than in September. Conditions have been wetter than normal in Central Africa with the Democratic Republic of Congo very wet in November. Uganda, Rwanda and Kenya

Hurricane Hurricanes are very large, rapidly rotating storms, with very strong winds and thunderstorms. Each year several make landfall and can cause considerable damage to property and loss of life. They are also known as typhoons or tropical cyclones. Find out more: www.metoffice.gov.uk/research

The warning is for a combination of widespread heavy snow and very strong easterly winds bringing blizzard conditions and drifting. It is valid between 15:00 Thursday 1 March and 02:00 Friday 2 March 2018 Red warnings are issued when it is highly likely that the weather will cause a high level