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will see the onset of the South Asian Monsoon (SAM). Wetter than normal conditions for much of the Indian subcontinent, Sri Lanka, as well as parts of southeast Asia are likely over the next three months. This may reflect either an early onset of the SAM, or a more intense SAM as compared to normal

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than 10mm/month rainfall in October, however in the southeast of Sudan conditions were wet. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: October to July Current Status 12 Current Status – Eastern Africa (2) Current Status

arrcc_newsletter_0620.pdf

and collaboration for communication of forecasts and risk prior to onset of the forthcoming monsoon season. Blast and rust forecast New emerging strains of wheat rust disease in South Asia, in combination with changes to climate, pose a threat to farmers’ livelihoods. An ARRCC pilot project is adapting

arrcc_newsletter_0620v2.pdf

and collaboration for communication of forecasts and risk prior to onset of the forthcoming monsoon season. Blast and rust forecast New emerging strains of wheat rust disease in South Asia, in combination with changes to climate, pose a threat to farmers’ livelihoods. An ARRCC pilot project is adapting

Climate Analysis for Risk Information & Services in South Asia (CARISSA)

The aim of the CARISSA project was to improve the uptake and use of regional climate change information across South Asia.

monsoon-season rainfall extremes in Nepal - Available here. Part IV - Understanding and quantifying extreme precipitation events in South Asia - Available here  Climate Risk Narratives for the hydropower sector in Nepal - Available here Summary note on Observational rainfall datasets in Nepal

wcssp_impact_brochure_final.pdf

and emergency management authorities improve preparedness ahead of the tropical cyclone season by providing insights into the number of cyclones that may occur in a region. Through WCSSP Southeast Asia, researchers from institutes in the UK, the Philippines and Vietnam have identified a new approach

arrcc_carissa_ws4_extreme_ppn_analysis_part_2_process-based_evaluation.pdf

). For example, many RCM experiments for the South Asia region present dry biases over the monsoon season, but wet biases over the Himalayas that are sometimes larger than those seen in the driving GCM simulations (Janes et al., 2019). In this assessment we also consider a set of statistically downscaled

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it was very wet at times in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique, particularly during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of the region. The season is likely to be drier than normal, with most long-range forecasting models

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, cold in the east, normal elsewhere (3) Note: Hot in west, and far east. Normal elsewhere. (4) Note: Large variations in the populated areas. Largely normal overall. (5) Note: Very Wet in west, normal in east. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season

02427 SEA Summary Infographic

at risk from climate-related losses, threatening livelihood support and wider ecosystem services valued at USD 14 trillion. • Southeast Asian forests are at risk from increasing drought-related dieback and forest fires. Both the length of wildfire seasons, and the areas that are susceptible to them

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