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How accurate was the Met Office’s summer forecasting?

weather over the summer came in the form of heatwaves, when there may be particular focus on forecast accuracy. Of the maximum temperature observations that exceeded 30°C over the summer, over 90% of the forecasts were forecasting temperatures above 28°C at three days ahead, and over 70

Satellite image of the month - 2023

.   October 2023 - Solar eclipse over the Americas 14 October 2023 The images above show two snap-shots of the Earth's disc, and the Americas in particular, during an annular solar eclipse that took place on 14 October 2023. These events occur when the Moon passes between Earth and the Sun, causing

Seasonal forecasts and climate drivers resources

Seasonal forecasts rely on aspects of the global weather and climate system that are predictable. These are known as climate drivers and include tropical sea-surface temperatures and pressure patterns over the North Atlantic. The predictable effects of climate drivers act alongside inherently

uk_monthly_climate_summary_201802.pdf

closed and there were delays and cancellations to flights across the UK. Over 1000 schools in England and Wales and many schools in Scotland were closed. There were unusually high numbers of road traffic collisions, some roads were closed, and many main routes were reduced to one lane. About 27,000

uk_monthly_climate_summary_201804.pdf

weather returned from the 22nd, and it was predominantly bright and showery in Scotland and Northern Ireland but with more general rain at times over England and Wales, and the 30th was unseasonably cool, wet and windy in East Anglia and the south-east. The provisional UK mean temperature was 8.4 °C

NCIC Monthly Summary

line between Hebden Bridge and Todmorden. In the Midlands there were fallen trees, delays to some rail services, and a lorry blew over on the A53. In London and the south-east there were reports of impacts to travel services, with strong winds causing delays to trains and buses with some road

arrcc_carissa_ws4_extreme_ppn_analysis_part_1_case_studies.pdf

-development/arrcc Delivery Partners: Page 2 of 40 - the impacts of an accumulation of above average rainfall throughout the season, - multiple low pressure systems/storms developing over the region, - the compound impacts of glacial melt and extreme rainfall. There are many factors that determine

output/wah_exp_design_v7.dvi

resolution) to ensurethat it can produce realistic climate and weather over any region of choice. The development process is documented and a comparison to previous coupled climate models and atmosphere only climate models is made. The system (known as weather@home) by which the global model is coupled

First day of the Battle of the Somme - 1 July 1916

The Meteorological Office was not involved in military forecasting from the outbreak of the First World War; its relationship with the British Army developed over the course of the campaign. Meteorological Office staff first entered the war zone after the Battle of Loos. They worked on the front

News

Temporary breaching of 1.5C in next five years?

as not (48%). However, there is only a very small chance (10%) of the five-year mean exceeding this threshold.  The chance of at least one year in the next five years exceeding the current warmest year, 2016, is over 90%. The chance of the five-year mean for 2022-2026 being higher than the last five

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