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Temporary breaching of 1.5C in next five years?

as not (48%). However, there is only a very small chance (10%) of the five-year mean exceeding this threshold.  The chance of at least one year in the next five years exceeding the current warmest year, 2016, is over 90%. The chance of the five-year mean for 2022-2026 being higher than the last five

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New rainfall warning for Scotland as Storm Bert pulls away

. Treherbert, Tyn-Y-Waun in South Wales recorded 171.6mm at a Natural Resources Wales (NRW) rain gauge over the same period. Strong winds were also recorded with 82mph recorded at Capel Curig in Gwynedd.  Storm Bert was well forecast, with a number of warnings in place ahead of the system reaching the UK

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Wind and rain to follow cold period

A cold northerly airflow has topped up snow totals for some of those in the north early this week and snow showers are likely to continue in north and northwest Scotland on Tuesday and Wednesday, likely most persistent over high ground in Scotland, as well as Shetland and Orkney. A number

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Jubilee weather forecast

more persistent rain on Tuesday whilst some of the better weather on Tuesday will be over parts of Wales and west and southwest England where showers should fade, leaving fine weather for the afternoon. Keep an eye on Met Office Twitter feeds for updates on where the very heaviest showers

News

Unsettled week ahead before turning cooler

After a week of benign anticyclonic gloom, low pressure has pushed the area of high pressure away to the east over the weekend. Heavy rain in Northern Ireland saw 59.2mm accumulate at Killowen from midnight to 14:00 on Sunday. Continued influence from low pressure will bring more unsettled weather

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Warm and sunny weather continues

The weather will continue to warm up over the next few days, with bright and sunny conditions for many.

north and northwest. Warm, sunny and dry for many over the next few days, with temperatures above average for the time of year 🌡️ A thundery breakdown on Sunday 🌩️ And a return to cooler temperatures by Monday 📉 pic.twitter.com/pCI767cOmA — Met Office (@metoffice) May 9, 2024 UV levels The warm

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Wintry, unsettled conditions continue

Paul Gundersen, Chief Meteorologist with the Met Office, said: “The flow of cold air over the UK will lead to heavy, wintry showers and icy conditions overnight. From 10pm Wednesday until 10am on Thursday there is a Met Office Yellow warning for snow & ice for most of the UK north of a line from

wcssp-example-engagement-event-response.pdf

perfecting severe convection techniques over several decades and applying these to severe convection in South Africa to see which perform the best in this climate. If possible, it would be of value to break this up over different areas of South Africa to take into account the varying climates to understand

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2025 begins with a cold snap

. “At this stage there is a fair amount of uncertainty over exactly which areas will see disruptive snow, with parts of Wales, northern England and the Midlands most likely to see some impacts. Here we could see 5cm or more in quite a few areas, and perhaps as much as 20-30cm over high ground, including

Ottery St Mary Hailstorm 29 to 30 October 2008

29 - 30 October 2008 (Hail and thunderstorms over East Devon) Weather chart for 0000 UTC on 30 October 2008 General summary An area of low pressure passed over South West England at around midnight on 30 October 2008. The frontal system associated with the low pressure system brought heavy rain

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