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intense rainfall events will increase flood risk in both rural and urban areas, with densely populated, low-lying urban areas particularly vulnerable. • People and businesses in ‘informal’ settlements and fast-growing towns with poor infrastructure are exposed to multiple threats. These include

90% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 90

% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 90

90% of UKCP results lie below this. Average summer rainfall rate is one exception. As this is expected to decrease over time rather than increase, here the 2 nd number is for RCP8.5, where 10% of the results are below this value. RCP 8.5 Time slice RCP 4.5 Time slice 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 90

, with fresh snowfalls occurring in Wales and the Peak District on the 29th and 30th, and further significant snowfalls from 4 to 6 January. By 7 January, the UK was covered by lying snow, almost without exception, to significant depths in many areas. The map below shows recorded snow depths at 0900 GMT

currently keeps the low further south and west, while the European model (ECMWF) places it closer to the UK, bringing rain further north. The American model presents a different scenario altogether, with low pressure centred over Scotland. The most likely outcome lies somewhere between the Met Office

it? “So, another pulse of warm air drifts northwards during Friday. Where we've got that weather front lying, likely still to be some showery rain across the west. But it looks at the moment as if a good part of central and eastern England will have a fine, warm and humid day on Friday. “In fact, hot

, with a chance that a few places could see 20 cm or more. With such severe weather around it’s important to keep up to date with the latest forecast.”  There will be strong easterly winds during this period which may lead to blizzard conditions, blowing and drifting of lying snow at times. Daytime

. The clear skies by day have allowed temperatures to rise in strong spring sunshine, only to be lost again over night. Early in the month we saw a cold plunge of Arctic maritime air bringing wintry showers with lying snow in some locations, particularly northern Scotland.”  April 2021 will be remembered

snow, with the possibility of further warnings. Deputy Chief Forecaster, Chris Almond, said: “Thursday will see another cold night, with potentially the lowest temperatures of the Winter so far, -15°C or so is possible in locations with lying snow in Scotland or northern England. “In the early hours