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• arrcc_newsletter_0620v2.pdf

  and collaboration for communication of forecasts and risk prior to onset of the forthcoming monsoon season. Blast and rust forecast New emerging strains of wheat rust disease in South Asia, in combination with changes to climate, pose a threat to farmers’ livelihoods. An ARRCC pilot project is adapting

• arrcc_newsletter_0620v2pdf

  and collaboration for communication of forecasts and risk prior to onset of the forthcoming monsoon season. Blast and rust forecast New emerging strains of wheat rust disease in South Asia, in combination with changes to climate, pose a threat to farmers’ livelihoods. An ARRCC pilot project is adapting

• PowerPoint Presentation

  will see the onset of the South Asian Monsoon (SAM). Wetter than normal conditions for much of the Indian subcontinent, Sri Lanka, as well as parts of southeast Asia are likely over the next three months. This may reflect either an early onset of the SAM, or a more intense SAM as compared to normal

• arrcc_carissa_ws4_extreme_ppn_analysis_part_2_process-based_evaluation.pdf

  ). For example, many RCM experiments for the South Asia region present dry biases over the monsoon season, but wet biases over the Himalayas that are sometimes larger than those seen in the driving GCM simulations (Janes et al., 2019). In this assessment we also consider a set of statistically downscaled

• arrcc_carissa_ws4_extreme_ppn_analysis_part_2_process-based_evaluationpdf

  ). For example, many RCM experiments for the South Asia region present dry biases over the monsoon season, but wet biases over the Himalayas that are sometimes larger than those seen in the driving GCM simulations (Janes et al., 2019). In this assessment we also consider a set of statistically downscaled

• PowerPoint Presentation

  than 10mm/month rainfall in October, however in the southeast of Sudan conditions were wet. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: October to July Current Status 12 Current Status – Eastern Africa (2) Current Status

• Microsoft PowerPoint - Africa Climate Outlook - September 2026

  , the summer wet season has been drier than normal over West Africa. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Rainfall Outlook: El Niño may continue to suppress shower and thunderstorm activity in coastal areas of West Africa. Meanwhile, should a positive IOD develop, then the short rains over East Africa

• PowerPoint Presentation

  Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda. It is currently the dry season for southern Africa. However, parts of Southern Africa and southern Madagascar are likely to be wetter than normal. Northern Madagascar is forecast to be drier than normal. The potential for a developing positive IOD is likely to lead

• Climate Analysis for Risk Information & Services in South Asia (CARISSA)

  The aim of the CARISSA project was to improve the uptake and use of regional climate change information across South Asia.

  monsoon-season rainfall extremes in Nepal - Available here. Part IV - Understanding and quantifying extreme precipitation events in South Asia - Available here Climate Risk Narratives for the hydropower sector in Nepal - Available here Summary note on Observational rainfall datasets in Nepal

• Microsoft PowerPoint - Global Climate Outlook - September 2026

  of southern Africa, the Indian Subcontinent, Indonesia, mainland Southeast Asia, eastern and southern Australia, northern South America and the Caribbean. Wetter than normal conditions tend to occur in parts of East Africa, southern and western Europe, parts of the southern and western USA, parts