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• More extreme weather events with planetary warming

  As the planet warms, the intensity, frequency and duration of extreme weather events such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall is expected to increase.

  of HadEX3 have today been published in a paper in the Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres.  Dr Robert Dunn of the Met Office is the lead author. Commenting on the update, he said: “Looking at the changing climate by studying the frequency of extreme weather events provides a different

• record-breaking-heat-and-sunshine---july-2006---met-office.pdf

  which commenced in 1659, it was the warmest calendar month yet recorded. The numerous warm, sunny days were associated with anomalously high pressure over northern Europe and a persistent southerly airstream over the UK. Warmest calendar month yet recorded Impacts The heat placed strains on water

• 2020 set to extend series of Earth’s warmest years

  temperature forecast. Professor Adam Scaife is the Met Office head of long-range prediction. He said: “Natural events – such as El Niño-induced warming in the Pacific – influence the climate system, but in the absence of El Niño, this forecast gives a clear picture of the strongest factor causing

• Consensus needed on Paris Agreement 1.5 °C guard rail

  Writing in the journal Nature ahead of COP28 a team of Met Office scientists has emphasised, surprisingly, there is currently no formally agreed way of defining the current level of global warming relevant to the Paris Agreement.

  They have proposed a solution. While the global average temperature in a particular year is well-known, this will not be suitable as an indicator of whether the “Paris 1.5” has been breached or not, because the Paris Agreement refers to long-term warming, not individual years. But no alternative

• Bank holiday weekend forecast

  Following on from a week of contrasts, with increasingly warmer conditions spreading north eastwards across the UK following below-average temperatures earlier in the week. Temperatures are on the rise as we head into the weekend 📈 especially across the south as mild air is drawn up from

• Early ‘payback’ with higher emission reductions

  In a paper published today [Monday 3 April, 2017] climate scientists at the Met Office Hadley Centre have shown that the early mitigation needed to limit eventual warming below potentially dangerous levels has a climate ‘payback’

  Change – investigates how quickly benefits of mitigation could be realised through any reduction in the occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures over land. The team focussed on model results from future scenarios of a rapidly-warming world: one without any action to reduce emissions; and one

• Future weather extremes likely to break new records

  and individuals – to understand more about how climate change is likely to impact the UK. Professor Jason Lowe OBE is head of the UKCP programme for the Met Office. He said: “Some of the most severe consequences of climate change will come from an increasing frequency and severity of extreme

• NCIC Monthly Summary

  September 2022 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1991-2020. The first part of September was warm, though it soon became unsettled in most regions. After the 12th it became cooler and more autumnal, and the last few days were particularly cool, with frosts in prone locations

• Changing conditions on the horizon, but for how long?

  likley to see snow.  Paul Gundersen is a Met Office Chief Forecaster. He said: “Over the last week, the UK has been held in a northerly airflow bringing cold, sometimes Arctic air, to the UK. We will still have this northerly influence to our weather patterns until the weekend, but then the cold

• 2017 likely to be third warmest year in the historical record

  as noteworthy because it will be the warmest year in the series which hasn’t been influenced by an El Niño – the warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation in the tropical Pacific. Based on the HadCRUT4 data set, global mean surface temperatures for January – September were 0.42°C ± 0.09°C above