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rainfall change; some evidence of a shift towards a decreasing frequency but increasing intensity of tropical cyclones; and understanding that El Nino events typically lead to drier conditions in the dry season and more extremes in the wet season. The scientists stated that such information

-normal, though more mixed across DRC. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall The Short Rains season in East Africa brought wetter than normal conditions to many areas, most notably in November when most parts were very wet. In southern Africa during October, Zambia, Zimbabwe and Mozambique were wet

average for the first half of the month (Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire recorded a maximum temperature of 25.4°C on 11 th May) and slightly above or close to average for the second half. It was a wet season with heavy rain in southern and central England during March, in northern England and Scotland

average for the first half of the month (Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire recorded a maximum temperature of 25.4°C on 11 th May) and slightly above or close to average for the second half. It was a wet season with heavy rain in southern and central England during March, in northern England and Scotland

76 Figure 5.11 Regional compound temperature and rainfall extremes 78 Figure 5.12a Persistent and whiplash hot and cold months and seasons 84 Figure 5.12b Persistent and whiplash wet and dry months and seasons 84 Figure 5.13 Years with record monthly and daily extremes a) High temperature extremes b

winter. Each phase describes sea surface temperature and accompanying atmospheric circulation patterns over the tropical Pacific Ocean.   Global weather impacts UK weather impacts ENSO can affect weather around the world, changing the chances of floods, drought, heatwaves and cold seasons

as this is the dry season in these areas. In contrast, this period tends to be part of the wetter part of the year across the south of the Arabian Peninsula and wetter than normal conditions are likely for Yemen and Oman. It is likely to be drier than normal across the Caribbean. Atlantic Tropical Storm outlook

Center and the IRI Map Room: http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). (1) Note: Cold in the far south (2) Note: Warm in the northwest (3) Note: Dry or very dry in the north (4) Note: Wet or very wet in the northwest

frequent these very wet days have been in the most recent decade (2014-2023). The most recent decade has had around 20% more days of exceptional rainfall compared to the 1961-1990 averaging period. While there is no significant signal for this change being more pronounced in a specific area of the UK

, cold in the south (4) Note: Wet in the far south, otherwise normal. (5) Note: Normal in the north, very dry in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: May to February Current Status 11 Current Status – Caribbean