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the need for more research into those climate events which are considered less likely to happen, but if they did could unleash even greater impacts. Climate scientists refer to these as ‘High-Impact Low-Likelihood’ events; or HILL events for short. Examples of these events include levels of warming

May 2022 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1991-2020. The weather during much of May was mostly quiet and uneventful, rather unsettled and showery for much of the time but with a few warmer and brighter days. Temperatures were mostly above average, especially by night

the top ten warmest years have occurred since 1990. l The most recent decade (2006-2015) has been on average 0.3 °C warmer than the 1981-2010 average and 0.9 °C warmer than 1961-1990. l December 2015 was the warmest December on record for the UK. It was also the warmest December on record

: • Probabilistic projections - these combine climate model data, observations and advanced statistical methods to simulate a wide range of climate outcomes for five emission scenarios† (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, RCP8.5 and SRESA1B) and five global warming levels (GWL1.5, GWL2.0, GWL2.5, GWL3.0, GWL4.0

to the satellite image above. An image of the sun during the morning of 16 October 2017 from Met Office Headquarters in Exeter, likely to be caused by a combination of Saharan dust and smoke from Portuguese wild-fires drawn north by the warm southerly airflow; a phenomenon observed widely across southern

area of the UK. Dr Ed Blockley leads the Met Office’s Polar Climate Group. He said: “Antarctic sea ice extent reaches a maximum around the end of September and a minimum around the end of February. At the end of June, the extent of sea ice should be building to a mid-point between the maximum

for the festive period he said: “Christmas is still over one month away, so it is impossible with this lead time to have any confidence in a detailed forecast for the big day. The only guides this far out that are helpful in determining a forecast are studying the global drivers of weather and what

for current climate change, and noted as "global warming". Climate changes have possible impacations on the hydrological cycle and more so on the accessible water resources and the water required for agriculture. Therefore there is concentration about climate change effects on agricultural yield. Along

the Customer Centre on: Tel: 0370 900 0100 Fax: 0370 900 5050 Email: [email protected] If you are outside the UK: Tel: +44 330 135 0000 Fax: +44 330 135 0050 Introduction A microclimate is the distinctive climate of a small-scale area, such as a garden, park, valley or part of a city

and persistent showers. Northern Ireland and Scotland experienced a relatively dry and sunny month, while central and southern parts of the UK were particularly wet and dull. The month began on a warm note, with above average temperatures across the UK persisting for the first week as successive plumes of warm