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2002. Year 2015 is ranked 16th and for the UK overall lies directly on the smoothed trend-line (Figure 4). Nevertheless, while year 2015 might be considered near normal in comparison to the most recent decade, it would still be a notably warm year compared to the first eight decades of the series

will increase the risks of flash flooding and environmental contamination in low-lying areas, especially those lacking adequate drainage and faecal waste management (3.3.4). Over 20 million urban residents are already 4 at high risk from flash floods, mainly in Viet Nam (10 million), Cambodia (4 million

each meteorological element is ‘correct’. For example, an 80% score means the forecast is right 80% of the time. Green – March 2026 36-month score shows long term improvement in the accuracy of this parameter (exceeds March 2023 score). Amber – March 2026 36-month score lies within tolerance band

will increase the risks of flash flooding and environmental contamination in low-lying areas, especially those lacking adequate drainage and faecal waste management (3.3.4). Over 20 million urban residents are already 4 at high risk from flash floods, mainly in Viet Nam (10 million), Cambodia (4 million

. Storm Deirdre brought wet and windy weather from the west on the 15th, which turned widely to freezing rain, also with sleet and snow in some places. 1 cm of lying snow was recorded at Bowhill (Selkirkshire), Tulloch Bridge (Invernesshire) and Gartocharn (Dunbartonshire) on the 16th, followed

was measured at Loch Glascarnoch (Ross & Cromarty) on the 17th. 18th to 24th Following a frosty start with 3 cm of snow still lying at Loch Glascarnoch (Ross & Cromarty), rain spread to all but the north-east by dusk on the 18th and introduced much milder air. The 19th was mainly cloudy with some areas of rain

of lying snow at Copley (County Durham) and a maximum of only 3.7 °C at Pennerley (Shropshire), and some areas saw showers of sleet and wet snow to low levels. The 28th was a little less cold, with showers mainly in eastern areas, these locally thundery with hail in the south-east, and any sleet

, situated along the typhoon belt of the Pacific, means that it is particularly vulnerable to a range of natural disasters, including tropical cyclones (typhoons), earthquakes and volcanoes. As a low-lying island nation of over 7,000 islands dominated by coastal communities, it is also highly

showing a deep area of low pressure with a central pressure value of 948 hPa to the west of Scotland. Wrapped around the low pressure centre is an occluded front with a cold front lying roughly from Lincolnshire across the Midlands and down to the West Country. The warm front is just clearing the east

climate model results and observations (i.e. biases). In addition, climate models neglect unknown effects of missing earth system processes. While the combined evidence of UKCP18 covers a broad range of potential future climate pathways, it remains possible that observed future changes could lie outside