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the MENA region, the Caribbean and the British Overseas Territories temperatures were warm or hot over the last three months. The exception to this has been the British Overseas Territories in the central Pacific which have been cool or cold. Outlook: It is likely or much more likely to be warmer than

the MENA region, the Caribbean and the British Overseas Territories temperatures were hot over the last three months. The exception to this has been the British Overseas Territories in the central Pacific which were near-normal in December but cold in November and again in January. Outlook

and Outlook – Rainfall Global Outlook – Temperature Global Outlook – Rainfall Africa Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: Many areas were warm or hot over the last three months though there were some exceptions. Much of northern Africa including the Sahel experienced near normal

), long period simulations (free running or multi-forecast) 1. Timing Biases 1.1. Summary of issues Precipitation is seen to initiate too early in convection-permitting (CP) Met Office Unified Model (MetUM), especially in the tropics. Once initiated, precipitation rates grow too rapidly. Given

OSTIA Creative - Sea Surface brief Temperature Global, operational, high-resolution, combined sea surface temperature (SST) and sea ice analysis system (OSTIA) Parameters 1. sea surface temperature (K) 2. sea surface temperature error (K) 3. sea ice fraction Time steps T+0 Area Complete Globe

– Temperature Global Outlook – Rainfall Climate Outlook Africa: May to February Africa Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: Predominately warm or hot over the past three months. The main exceptions have been across the DRC, Sudan and parts of Ethiopia where temperatures have been near

months, most of the MENA and Caribbean regions have been warm or hot. The central Pacific British Overseas Territories have been cool. Outlook: Over the next three months, consistent with a warming climate and a strong El Nino, it is likely or much more likely that temperatures will be warmer than

– Temperature Global Outlook – Rainfall Climate Outlook Africa: July to April Africa Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: Many areas were warm or hot over the last three months. There have been some exceptions with parts of Ethiopia having experienced below normal temperatures over

The colder conditions following Storm Christoph will remain until early next week, when conditions are due to become more unsettled once more

, but wetter conditions to the UK once more, although this may take a while to reach the north-east of the UK. Once the certainty increases about which areas are most likely to be affected by potentially heavy rain, we may need to issue further warnings, especially if next week’s rainfall is likely to compound

– Temperature Global Outlook – Rainfall Climate Outlook Africa: June to March Africa Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: Many areas were warm or hot over the last three months. There have been some exceptions with parts of Ethiopia seeing below normal temperatures over the last three