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of Scotland The map below shows maximum gust speeds on 3 January 2014. Once again, winds gusted at 60 to 70 kt around exposed coastlines of the south and west, with 92 kt (106 mph) at Needles Old Battery (Isle of Wight) and 71 kt (82 mph) at Mumbles Head (Swansea). 5 January In early January

three months, it has been warm or hot across MENA and southern Europe, with the main exception being Libya and Egypt which were more mixed in November. In the Caribbean, temperatures have been mixed, and British Oversea Territories in the Pacific and Indian Ocean were cold. Outlook: Over the next three

– Temperature Global Outlook – Rainfall Climate Outlook Asia: September to June Asia Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: Warm or hot conditions have dominated over the past three months, although parts of India, Pakistan, China and mainland Southeast Asia have been near normal or cool

Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook – Rainfall Global Seasonal Outlook – Temperature Global Seasonal Outlook – Rainfall Climate Outlook Global: July to April MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook - Temperature Current Status: Normal to hot

the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Africa: July

shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction

shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center

The colder conditions following Storm Christoph will remain until early next week, when conditions are due to become more unsettled once more

, but wetter conditions to the UK once more, although this may take a while to reach the north-east of the UK. Once the certainty increases about which areas are most likely to be affected by potentially heavy rain, we may need to issue further warnings, especially if next week’s rainfall is likely to compound

), long period simulations (free running or multi-forecast) 1. Timing Biases 1.1. Summary of issues Precipitation is seen to initiate too early in convection-permitting (CP) Met Office Unified Model (MetUM), especially in the tropics. Once initiated, precipitation rates grow too rapidly. Given

region has been hot over the last three months. Conditions mixed for Colombia and Venezuela with some areas experiencing below normal temperatures. Across MENA many areas were warm or hot during March and April but closer to normal in May across North Africa. Outlook: Warmer than normal conditions