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.  Later in the day, another band of potentially heavy rain is expected to move into southern and southwestern regions. Winds will generally remain light, though breezy conditions may develop towards the far southwest. ⚠️⚠️ Amber weather warning issued ⚠️⚠️ Torrential, thundery rain across parts

Starting off on Tuesday morning, the Northern Isles will see cloud and light rain or drizzle by day, with some scattered showers in Caithness in the afternoon. Elsewhere we'll see dry and sunny conditions, with much warmer temperatures. Inland areas will see temperatures mostly between 22-24°C

. Western areas and parts of northern England will be cloudier, with the potential for light rain or drizzle, particularly near coasts and on hills. It will be another warm and muggy night across England and Wales, although temperatures may dip slightly compared to the previous night. Further north

. Western areas and parts of northern England will be cloudier, with the potential for light rain or drizzle, particularly near coasts and on hills. It will be another warm and muggy night across England and Wales, although temperatures may dip slightly compared to the previous night. Further north

Although a scattering of showers may develop in the west this afternoon, many will enjoy a pleasant day on Thursday with light winds and sunshine.   Bright and mild for many this afternoon but a few showers are possible in western areas, these locally heavy in the north 🌤️ Feeling pleasant

of precipitation at 700m Time 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00 Clear night Sunny Sunny Sunny Cloudy Light rain Precipitation probability 40% <05% <05% <05% 30% 60% Forecast for Tuesday 16 Sep 2025 2025-09-16 Weather: A dry and bright day with sunny spell, risk of a light shower in the afternoon. Clouding over

). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook

analysis vs observations JJA New 4.4 km – 9km High resolution data assimilation New + analysis 4.4 km – 9km 4.4 km improved against observations Still some degradation in the tropics Z. Zaplotnik, J. Schröttle, E. Orlandi and J. Bandeiras A more detailed look… Convection Too much light precipitation

but turning mild by the 3rd. Persistent rain slowly cleared away from eastern parts on the 1st, with brighter weather elsewhere but some scattered showers in the west. A ridge of high pressure brought a dry sunny day but for a few light showers in the north-west on the 2nd, with 9.1 hours of sunshine

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