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12, the evolving NH extratropical drift becomes large, lying between 1-2 °C during years 80-100 (equivalent to the UKCP18 baseline period of 1980-2000) and nearly reaching 4 °C by year 150, after which it reduces more slowly. In member 11, the drift is more modest (~ 0.5 °C) during years 80-100

(Mediterranean, humid sub-tropical and maritime west coast) Temperate climate zones lie between the tropics and the polar circles. The changes in these regions between summer and winter are generally subtle, warm or cool, rather than extreme, burning hot or freezing cold. However, a temperate climate

troposphere shifts northwards during break and lies approximately above the lower monsoon trough. This seems to provide an effective process of removing ascending air in the lower monsoon trough causing exceptionally heavy rainfall over Assam and along the foot of the Himalayas. Specifically

lies in transforming mindsets from a purely hydrometeorology science/technologists mindset into a modern business matter that is credible at the public level, and which will take into consideration the whole value chain of the hydrometeorology components and bring to all stakeholders the adapted

shows the approximate 95% confidence range for the HadCRUT4 data (the ‘true’ global average is expected to lie outside this range around only 5% of the time). (Source: Met Office) Year-to-year variations of global mean surface temperature are strongly affected by natural variations in the climate

of sea-level rise on low-lying coastal areas in South Asia by working with organisations in the region to improve the provision and use of sea-level projections. Reviews of the recent scientific literature on sea-level science information and services for Bangladesh (Harrison et al., 2020a

change on the extent of flood zones by applying the higher central and upper end allowances: this typically does not significantly change the extent of the high probability Zone 3 because this is often topographically-defined – the exceptions are areas with extensive low-lying land such as along

climate models have increased our understanding of key feedbacks and large scale processes in the climate system (e.g. Stainforth et al. (2005)), the real power of very large ensembles lies in the potential to simulate extreme events which, by their definition, are rare. To obtain statistics

would fill over half a grid box but which lie in adjacent ones • Peninsulae similarly split over grid boxes • Major cities or other important coastal or island sites which are otherwise ocean points may be converted • All land points (with the exception of single grid box islands) should share

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