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met-office_infographic_jan-18-snowice.pdf

paths Cancelled a planned activity Salted paths/ drive And did you take any action for anyone else? 80% No 20% Yes Overall how useful would you have said this severe weather warning was? 66% Very useful 29% Fairly useful 2% Not very useful 2% Not at all useful Didn’t know 5% LOW IMPORTANCE HIGH Key: (xxx) = mean performance 3% Left work early Research conducted and infographic designed by djsresearch.co.uk

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Climate change: AMOC likely to withstand future warming

that collapse over the next 75 years is unlikely, the AMOC is very likely to weaken, which will present climate challenges for Europe and beyond.” Professor Watson, of the University of Exeter adds: “So the AMOC is not only controlled by conditions in the North Atlantic, but also what's happening at the other

What is an ensemble forecast?

, very small errors in its initial state can lead to large errors in the forecast. This means that we can never create a perfect forecast system because we can never observe every detail of the atmosphere's initial state. Tiny errors in the initial state will be amplified, so there is always a limit

Dr Yongming Tang

or Technical achievement category for this work.  During this period at JCMM, Yongming also developed a very high resolution and very efficient fog prediction model, and studied the impact of coastal ocean SST on the prediction of sea fog and sea breezes. In 2011 Yongming took a secondment from

News

Warming up, with another heatwave on the way for some

some cloud and light rain or patchy drizzle at times. It will be breezy near some North Sea coasts. Whilst temperatures are expected to build day on day, becoming widely very warm or hot, they are unlikely to surpass those recorded at the start of the month. This heatwave is expected to be longer

Positive impacts of ensemble forecasts

of the developing storm in different members of the ECMWF ensemble forecast. This indicated a very high confidence that the storm would track over northern Britain during the evening of 31 December. Further analysis also showed a high probability of very strong winds associated with this storm

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A milestone in UK climate history

July 2019. In rank order, the graph below shows the record highest UK-wide average maximum daily temperatures since 1960. Mike added: “The high temperature values were obviously exceptional but the widespread nature is also very significant and makes this recent heatwave stand above the crowd when

News

Record breaking rainfall - for some

Many people in England will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, but this hasn’t been the case across the whole of the UK.

Autumn  Many people in England will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, with significant flooding in parts of the Midlands and days of prolonged rainfall. But this hasn’t been the case across the whole of the UK, as the map below indicates. There has been a marked difference in rainfall

News

Bank Holiday heat gives way to showers

The early May Bank Holiday will be very warm and sunny for many before a change to fresher conditions and the chance of showers arrives for the rest of the week.

Bank Holiday Monday will see a continuation of the very warm and sunny weather that much of the UK has experienced during the bank holiday weekend. The exceptions to the sunny story being around some Irish Sea coasts where a chilly mist may come in off the sea at times, and cloudy skies over

News

Amber warnings for snow

This week will be another very cold week across the UK, and snowy at times in many areas.

in on bitterly cold easterly winds. These very cold conditions are expected to last through the week as very cold air from northern Scandinavia and the far northwest of Russia crosses the UK and the easterly winds bring a significant wind chill making it feel several degrees colder than thermometers show

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