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early in the day, leaving a predominantly dry day with sunny spells. Northern Ireland may still see a few light showers. Winds will be light to moderate throughout. Following another warm night, temperatures will be closer to average in western areas but will remain very warm elsewhere, with hot

early in the day, leaving a predominantly dry day with sunny spells. Northern Ireland may still see a few light showers. Winds will be light to moderate throughout. Following another warm night, temperatures will be closer to average in western areas but will remain very warm elsewhere, with hot

(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020

, the rainfall patterns over the next 3-6 months are expected to be strongly influenced by the ongoing mature La Niña event across the tropical Pacific. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Rainfall The latest statement from the NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP states that “La Niña is likely

to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions to remain over the coming few months

Global: July to April Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) –Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) considers ENSO to be neutral with the conditions not yet being met for a La Niña event to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La

to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions ate present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early next year. 3

for a time before cloud bubbled up generally into the afternoon, with scattered showers developing along the east coast. The 27th was cloudier generally, with some brightness arising through the day, the best of any sunshine being in the west. It was cloudy on the 28th, with isolated light showers developing

, mostly light and patchy, for northern and central parts. Again it was generally cloudy on the 4th, with local mist or fog patches first thing, and rain, heavy at times, spreading slowly and erratically from the north-west during the morning to reach central parts, Honister Pass (Cumbria) wettest