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of deaths attributed to air pollution in the UK, good air quality forecasts and warnings have the potential to reduce deaths on par with that estimated for heat-health warnings during heatwaves. Many outdoor leisure activities expose participants to direct risk from the weather. One such area

to the climatology compared to other models derived from the same modelling base. HadCM3 is still a very successful model, despite its age, and is included in both the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble and the IPCC AR5 report. HadCM3 is shown to have errors on a par with other members of the CMIP5 ensemble when

in present-day precipitation characteristics compared to 12km models.” CS Open Thank you for pointing this out. We have made this point in the non-technical summary: “For the first time internationally, a climate model at a resolution on par with operational weather forecast models, is being used