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embedded with intense convection. The map below shows 2-day rainfall totals for 13 and 14 January 2020, with 20 to 30mm of rain falling widely across southern and western England and Wales, and 30 to 50mm or more falling across upland parts of western England, Wales and western Scotland. Author: Mike Kendon, Met Office National Climate Information Centre Last updated 21/01/2020

to May to find a month with below-average rainfall amounts for the UK as a whole. The full-month UK rainfall total is 100.3 mm, which is 79% of the long-term average for October (1981-2010). Western Scotland and Northern Ireland have been wetter with 211.5 mm (104% of average) and 107.3 mm (90

. "A second yellow thunderstorm warning is also in place for parts of North West England, North Wales. The worst of the storms are likely to occur in the West Midlands. Here, exceptional rainfall totals could be seen of 60mm in an hour; with a very small chance of 150mm of rainfall in 3 or 4 hours

Low-pressure is gradually moving north over the next couple of days, bringing heavy rain and gusty winds at times.   Areas to the south of the UK have already seen some surface water flooding impacts, but rainfall totals are expected to be higher further north, with in excess of 100 mm of rain

the Midlands. A separate Yellow warning for rain is in place from 08:00 on Monday to 03:00 on Tuesday covering parts of the north-east Midlands and east and northeast England. There is significant uncertainty in the amount of rainfall and location of the largest totals for this warning, but 20-40 mm of rain

emergences + synoptic updates (ADAPT) Study accuracy of surface field. Global Quantities: Open Flux, Total & Free Energy. Flux rope ejections: location and number Accuracy of simulations in reproducing flux rope ejections towards Earth

over the tropics: Contribution to total Tropics (20S-20N ) Calculated from 3-hourly accumulations (GPM 30-min means converted to 3-hourly) CoMA9_N1280 Convective fraction N2560 vs N1280 CoMA9_TB_N2560 CoMA9_TB_N1280 GAL9_N2560 GAL9_N1280 Summary • Modified version of CoMorph-A for use at ~5 km

. Figure 2 shows the percentage change number of people affected by flooding in each country, averaged over all simulations, for 2°C, 1.5°C and 4°C global warming relative to present day. The tables show global totals averaged over all simulations (bold) and the minimum and maximum. Number of people

a very deep area of low pressure and fronts associated with this storm across England and Wales. The map below shows maximum gust speeds on 1 April 1994. In total, 57 stations across England and Wales exceeded 50Kt, of which 22 exceeded 60Kt (69mph), around four times as many as on 18 April 2023

hours or less, and perhaps 50-60mm in total this evening and overnight. A number of Yellow warnings for rain have also been issued, you should keep up to date on the latest forecast for your area on our forecast pages. The risk of flooding should be monitored using the warnings on the Environment Agency