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counts ↓ when mesoscale SM variability suppressed. Begin recovery on D2. SM variability stronger control on population than cold pools. Maybee et al, in pub. QJRMS Impact of surface scales on MCS populations • Larger mean storm areas in Control – also higher regional cloud cover • Comparable

Monday will begin with fog slowly clearing through the morning, particularly across southern and central areas. Once the fog lifts, most regions will enjoy a largely fine day with plenty of sunshine, though conditions may be hazy at times. The northwest, including western Scotland, will see cloud

the north, spread steadily southwards, reaching East Anglia and the south-east by evening, with scattered showers developing in northern and central parts. 8th to 18th There was some sunshine on the 8th, but morning showers in the north-west. Cloud increased from the west during the course of the 9th

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). Overleaf are a series of plots showing the Gerrity Skill Score in relation to the agreed performance measure for forecast Cloud Base and Visibility at airports in receipt of 9, 24 and 30 hr TAFs. Ronaldsway (EGNS) has now been included alongside the other ’9hr North’ airports, but it is not included

in the north, with some heavy rain during late a ernoon on the 15th, and this rain cleared slowly south-eastwards on the 16th followed by sunshine and showers. The 17th was mainly sunny for most but it clouded over in the north-west with patchy rain and drizzle. A warm humid weather pattern then set

between the 10th and 12th, and the 10th was a day of sunshine and showers for most, the showers heavy and thundery in some places although other places stayed dry. Showers were generally fewer on the 11th, though a few were still heavy especially in the east. The 12th saw some patchy cloud bubble up

pressure remains in charge over the next few days, a change to wetter and windier conditions is on the way over the weekend as low pressure returns ☔ pic.twitter.com/WxamWDhSYu — Met Office (@metoffice) October 15, 2025 As Thursday night approaches, cloud will persist across northern and eastern regions

Saturday begins with cloud and rain affecting northern and western parts of Britain, gradually moving east and southeast throughout the day. By evening, most of eastern and southeastern England will see the rain clearing, making way for brighter conditions. Behind the main band of rain, sunshine

A band of thicker cloud will develop across the southeast during the day, bringing outbreaks of rain. There is a small chance of this turning thundery in the far southeast before clearing later in the afternoon. Eastern Scotland and northeastern England will begin the day cloudy, with showers