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changes taken from the UKCP18 PPE15 global strand High-impact low-likelihood scenarios: scenario report 13 Table HILL1-2: HI-1 enhanced warming scenario: frequency of ‘extreme’ days Hot days (% of days) 2050s 2070s DJF MAM JJA SON DJF MAM JJA SON England 33 39 64 59 44 56 85 77 Wales 33 41 65 60 44 59

This week we are going to see a lot of very warm, locally hot, and at times sunny weather across the UK as high pressure builds to dominate our weather.

, and where. That said over the preceding weekend it will probably become cloudier and less hot from the west with some outbreaks of rain, which could be heavy and thundery at times. Eastern and south-eastern parts will more likely than not stay dry, sunny and locally hot through Saturday too and possibly

and it will probably be hot in parts of southern and eastern England, as temperatures peak close to 30 Celsius. “It’s possible Northern Ireland and Scotland will join the rest of the country in seeing a spell of warmer weather later next week, as this hot air from the continent extends northwards

hotter • Heavier rainfall • Rainy seasons are not as reliable www.metoffice.gov.uk/schools | 10 © Crown Copyright 2020, Met Office Fiji Key climate changes • Sea level rise • More intense storms • More tropical cyclones • Hotter temperatures www.metoffice.gov.uk/schools | 11 © Crown Copyright 2020, Met Office Find out more at www.metoffice.gov.uk/schools www.metoffice.gov.uk/schools | 12 © Crown Copyright 2020, Met Office

of the week for the majority of England and Wales, albeit slightly less hot on Wednesday and Thursday, when temperatures are more likely to peak in the high 20s Celsius.   A persistent area of high pressure centred over the southern half of the UK is responsible for this week’s warm spell, bringing largely

nights, which is when overnight temperatures remain in excess of 20°C.   The highest overnight minimum temperature for September on record is 21.7°C, and this record could be threatened on Wednesday and Thursday nights in particular.   As our climate changes due to human influences, hot spells like

weather.”   As our climate changes due to human influences, hot spells like this are becoming more frequent and severe. By 2070, the chance of exceeding 30°C for two days or more throughout the year increases. Projections show that over southern parts of the UK exceeding 30°C for two days or more becomes

, but warm or very warm elsewhere, and hot once again in the southeast. READ MORE: What is humidity and how does it affect human health? The hottest day of the current spell is expected on Monday, with temperatures widely exceeding 30°C in central and eastern England, possibly reaching 34°C in London

, but warm or very warm elsewhere, and hot once again in the southeast. READ MORE: What is humidity and how does it affect human health? The hottest day of the current spell is expected on Monday, with temperatures widely exceeding 30°C in central and eastern England, possibly reaching 35°C in London

continent drawing a hot southerly flow across central and eastern parts of the UK. The satellite image below on 19 April 2018 shows much of the UK cloud-free with temperatures climbing rapidly in warm spring sunshine. Areas of low cloud affected coastlines of Wales and south-west England