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Seasonal Climate Outlooks user guide

of a particular place is often described in seasonal periods (e.g. summer/ winter or rainy/ dry season) over the cycle of the year.   The climate can also naturally vary between different years due to the process of Earth system cycles, especially those associated with large circulations of the oceans

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experiences more cloudy, wet and windy weather than regions further east. Some upland areas experience harsh weather whilst coastal and lower lying areas enjoy more favourable conditions. Winter mean daily minimum temperatures vary from 0°C in high parts of north and mid-Wales to 3 or 4°C around the coast

Met Office 10-day trend: A tale of two halves for September

: A tale of two halves for September Author: Press Office 25 September 2025 September has been a month of contrasts across the UK, with the weather delivering a tale of two halves. The start of the month was unsettled, bringing plenty of wet weather and changeable conditions. However, as we moved

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to the west creates an environment that is frequently cool, dull and wet. However, the Pennines can cause the cloud to break up downwind, meaning warmer days but cooler nights. If low winter temperatures coincide with high winter precipitation, heavy winter snowfall may occur across Kirklees. Snowfall

ukcp18-factsheet-precipitation.pdf

decades. • Over land the projected general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers

Met Office Deep Dive: Heatwaves, thunderstorms and satellite launches

transitioned into an extratropical system as it approached the UK. While not expected to bring hazardous weather, Dexter has played a role in shaping our current conditions. Initially forecast to pass northwest of the UK, Dexter’s influence was expected to be limited to a spell of wet weather

Storm Goretti: Key stats from the multi-hazard event

in Dorset and 60mph in Kent. Castlemartin Warren, in Pembrokeshire, saw gusts of 53mph. With these strong winds came very large waves creating dangerous conditions along the coast. READ MORE: A look back at the 2024/25 storm season Snowfall: Widespread accumulations and amber warnings Storm Goretti

wiser0106_sahel-forecasting-applications-report.pdf

available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based on the predicted 2-5 year tercile

Weather 'not ideal' for BBC Radio 1's Big Weekend

Festivalgoers in Liverpool should prep for all seasons as BBC Radio 1’s Big Weekend comes with a varied weather forecast.

and showers may make it feel cooler. Festivalgoers should also be mindful of ground conditions at Sefton Park. As an outdoor venue with large grassed areas and uneven terrain, wet weather could lead to muddy or waterlogged patches. Waterproof footwear and layered clothing are highly recommended. Is the dry

Understanding long-range forecasts: Science, skill, and application

. For example, while it’s not possible to predict the exact weather on a particular day months ahead, forecasters can estimate the probability of certain conditions, such as a wetter-than-average season or an increased risk of heatwaves. READ MORE: How the Met Office utilises Big Data in its operations

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