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Friday will start with isolated fog patches that will soon clear, leading to sunny spells for many areas. It will feel fairly warm in light winds, especially away from North Sea coasts. However, outbreaks of rain, some locally heavy, will affect Northern Ireland and parts of the far western UK
international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Whilst oceanic indicators, including sea surface temperatures
(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition
Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating that: “There is a ~60% chance of a transition from La Niña to ENSO-Neutral during the Northern Hemisphere spring 2021 (April-June).” Despite this trend La Niña will continue to be a dominant driver of rainfall patterns, especially in the tropics
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, from the day-night band of VIIRS. This channel is able to detect very low light levels at night-time, and the fog shows up clearly from reflected moonlight in this example (while emitted light from towns, cities and North Sea oil platforms is also seen). In particular, the fine details of localized
PWS International Products Consultation Executive Summary Although this was a fairly light touch consultation due to limited Secretariat resources, the evidence in this report is enough to be able to give some broad conclusions to the questions posed: 1. Are the current international services
shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center
months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition to ENSO-neutral during
AND APPLICATIONS CENTRE (ICPAC) W2SIP/NECJOGHA Greater Horn of Africa Climate Communication Workshop GHACOF51, ENTEBBE, UGANDA 9 th – 10 th FEBRUARY 2019 Program 8 th February 2019 Arrival of Participants and Check in Day One: Saturday February 9 th 2019 8:00-9:00 Arrival and Registration
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