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variation from year-to-year, with the forecast increase for 2024 being relatively large (Figure 2). The Mauna Loa record is a good guide to rise in global average CO2  concentration, which we therefore expect to increase by a similar amount. Figure 1. Forecast CO2 concentrations at the Mauna Loa

For a location in central England 41% drier to 9% wetter 3% drier to 22% wetter No change to 3.3 °C warmer -0.1 °C cooler to 2.4 °C warmer 57% drier to 3% wetter 2% drier to 33% wetter 1.1 °C warmer to 5.8 °C warmer 0.7 °C warmer to 4.2 °C warmer 61% drier to 3% wetter 57% wetter to 3% drier

rdscientific: Richard G. Derwent Contents 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Work Programme 2 1.1.1 Compliance with the Montreal Protocol 2 1.1.2 Verification of greenhouse gas emissions 2 1.1.3 Other tasks 3 1.2 Publications 8 1.3 Meetings 19 1.4 Abbreviations 20 2 Instrumental Performance 21 2.1 Summary

convective rainfall. As Eastern England is generally sheltered from the track of Atlantic depressions, average wind speeds are low. However, the region has the greatest frequency of tornadoes in the UK, which typically last a few minutes and track for around 2 to 5 km. HOW HAS HULL'S CLIMATE CHANGED

with statistical @ Crown copyright 2020 1 predictions from pre-season sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The detailed methodology is described in Part 2. For this forecast the GloSea5 component comprised an aggregation of 42 GloSea5 predictions (ensemble members) initialised between

in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Hot summers are expected to become more common. By 2050, every other summer may be as hot as the record breaking summer of 2018. Sea level will continue to rise in the 21 st century even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced rapidly. Page 2 of 7 MANCHESTER

Notification for Aviation (VONA) EXERCISE EXERCISE EXERCISE [NOT OFFICIAL/EXAMPLE ONLY] (1) VOLCANO OBSERVATORY NOTICE FOR AVIATION — VONA (2) Issued:20250702/0823Z (3) Volcano: Eyjafjallajökull (372020) (4) Current aviation colour code: RED (5) Previous aviation colour code: GREEN (6) Source

Forecast of East African rainfall for October- December 2020 using statistical and dynamical methods Issued 2 October 2020 EAfrica2020 - 1 – © Crown copyright 2008 FORECAST OF EAST AFRICAN RAINFALL FOR OCTOBER-DECEMBER 2020 USING DYNAMICAL AND STATISTICAL METHODS Andrew Colman Met Office Hadley

prediction system, the methodology used to generate the forecast, and a map of the regions, is provided in Part 2. Figure 1.1: Predicted probabilities for July-August-September 2022 rainfall for the Sahel (15°W to 37.5°E,12.5°N to 17.5°N); Soudan (7.5°W to 33.75°E, 10°N to 12.5°N) and Guinea Coast (7.5°W

system, the methodology used to generate the forecast, and a map of the regions, is provided in Part 2. Figure 1.1: Predicted probabilities for July-August-September 2022 rainfall for the Sahel (15°W to 37.5°E,12.5°N to 17.5°N); Soudan (7.5°W to 33.75°E, 10°N to 12.5°N) and Guinea Coast (7.5°W to 7.5°E