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greenhouse gases, driving further global warming 1, 2, 3 . The release of carbon from permafrost thaw is irreversible on human timescales, because even if the temperature reduces and permafrost re-freezes, the mechanisms for burying carbon take place very slowly 3 . This means that a greater

prediction system, the methodology used to generate the forecast, and a map of the regions, is provided in Part 2. Figure 1.1: Predicted probabilities for July-August-September 2022 rainfall for the Sahel (15°W to 37.5°E,12.5°N to 17.5°N); Soudan (7.5°W to 33.75°E, 10°N to 12.5°N) and Guinea Coast (7.5°W

-season sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The detailed methodology is described in Part 2. For this forecast the GloSea5 component comprised an aggregation of 42 GloSea5 predictions (ensemble members) initialised between 23 January and 12 February which cover the period

............................................................................................................................... 2 2 Executive Summary .............................................................................................................. 3 2.1 Project Summary

(Figure 2). Figure 1. Daily Arctic sea ice extent for 2023, compared with recent years and the 1981-2010 average, with +/- 1 and 2 standard deviation intervals indicated by the shaded areas. Data are from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). Figure 2. Arctic sea ice minima from 1979 to 2023

, top and extent • Display of space weather advisories (11 pages) 4thRoundEvalCriteria NetSys nsGIB gib-5-13-0 Final.docx Software Functionality Available and Compliant? Comments SADIS 2G �/X Secure SADIS FTP �/X 1. Display of OPMET data and other data types in text format � � N/A 2. WAFS GRIB2

Consolidated Report on the AMDAR Kenya Knowledge Sharing Consultation Workshops held at South Africa Weather Services on 23 -24 October 2017 and 2-3 November 2017 SUMMARY The South African Aviation Weather Centre with the support of its Chief Executive Office, Mr. Jerry Lengoasa, hosted Kenya

.1.05.2016 CITATIONS 0 READS 82 4 authors: Stephen Rwigi University of Nairobi 2 PUBLICATIONS 0 CITATIONS Nzioka John Muthama University of Nairobi 77 PUBLICATIONS 259 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE SEE PROFILE Alfred Opere University of Nairobi 25 PUBLICATIONS 95 CITATIONS Franklin J Opijah University

to the measured annual rise in previous years (black) and our statistical reconstruction of the past annual rises (red). The forecast uncertainty range based on the SST forecast is ± 2 standard deviations.   The size of the annual CO2 rise depends on anthropogenic emissions and the strength of natural

If >2000 kms -1 invoke UK call-out procedures ~4-6hrs CME Travel Time 18 Hours Image Analysis / CME param Enlil Model Input Summary of CME Timeline Solar Flare GOES data Coronagraph Imagery ~4-6hrs CME Travel Time 18 Hours Image Analysis / CME param 2-3hrs Enlil Model Input Geomagnetic Storm Watch