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Office ensemble system (MOGREPS) was showing a high probability of high wind speeds down the east coast of Britain, giving ideal conditions for the development of a storm surge (see Figure 3). Figure 3: A probability chart produced 21 hours ahead, showing a high probability of the wind gusts exceeding

of the hail stones, and where and when they occur. The project is funded by the AXA Research Fund and will be undertaken in close collaboration with a European hail expert. Climate change and the East Midlands economy Working with the East Midlands Development Agency (emda), the objective

was rather drier than average in some north-eastern areas, but central and south-east England, especially East Anglia, were rather wet. Overall the UK had 99% of average rainfall. January was rather wet in some western areas, but dry in Aberdeenshire. The UK overall had 110% of average rainfall

northwest and far southeast may be cloudier at times, with the possibility of a little rain or the odd shower. Breezy conditions will persist in the east, southeast, and far north and northwest. Daytime temperatures will remain near average, but overnight conditions will be chilly, with patchy rural

for the rainfall is in the south and east later this evening and tomorrow morning. 15-25mm is likely to fall quite widely, with in excess of 40mm possible in a few places over a 12-hour period. Coupled with this system are some strong winds, with gusts of around 50mph possible along coasts

of Scotland and northern England will ease through the morning, bringing a breezy, showery afternoon for the northern half of the UK. As for the south, cloud and outbreaks of rain will spread east through the day, bringing some potentially heavy rain across parts of central and southern England

of the consultation is Met Office Safeguarding, Met Office, Observations, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB. [email protected] Scale 1:75,000 SOUTH SOMERSET DISTRICT Coordinate System: British National Grid Projection: Transverse Mercator Datum: OSGB 1936 False Easting: 400,000.0000 False

and settled conditions This low has now moved away from Britain and in its wake much of the UK will see more settled conditions with gradually more sunshine and increasing temperatures through the week. In the far north east breezy, showery conditions will persist a little longer into Wednesday. A separate

that matched our technical definition of a heatwave, which would require temperatures above the heatwave threshold for an area for three days in a row. However, almost everywhere will see above average temperatures for May next week, with parts of the south east potentially reaching a maximum in the mid

where 60-90 mm in total could fall as the storm moves from west to east.  National Severe Weather Warning Chief Meteorologist Andy Page, said “The UK is in for another unseasonably wet and windy spell with Storm Francis arriving on Tuesday. There will be strong winds and heavy rain, especially