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. change projections. The new core computational models we are developing will allow a greater use of ensembles (a technique to assess multiple scenarios) to deliver more robust and usable forecasts. As we have refined the customer-centric anchor of our strategy, we have recognised the importance

salinisation. Climate change could also have positive impacts on crop yields and pasture/rangeland productivity in some rainfed and irrigated areas less affected by soil-water degradation, at least until the 2050s (3.1.2). Specifically, areas that either have moderate summers or grow several crops

has been produced in partnership with the Met Office, the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) and the Nepal Development Research Institute (NDRI) as part of the UK Aid funded Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) programme. The study was conducted under

this, the rise in atmospheric CO2 slows rapidly and ceases completely within the next two decades. The IPCC 6 th Assessment Report included 3 scenarios which have at least a 50% likelihood of limiting global warming to 1.5°C with little or no overshoot (Table 2). The C1-IMP-LD scenario features

production, co-development through to use at the local level (WMO, 2018). Figure 1. National value chain for climate services. Source: WMO, 2018. (CBO = community-based organization; GPC = global producing centre; ICT = information and communications technology; NGO = non-governmental organization; RCC

, there were also significant droughts in 1990-92, 1995-97 and 2004-06. The 1975-76 drought was the most significant drought for at least the last 150 years in the UK, and is usually regarded as a 'benchmark' against which all other droughts are compared. Much of England and Wales received less than 65

Only 3 Ratings of NSWWS are very positive among Responders Responders rate all factors relating to weather Warnings very highly. Around 9 in 10 say warnings are at least ‘good’ and six in ten (59%) feel they that they are very good or excellent. Responders rated NSWWS most highly got ease of use

— this is an easy case, without significant contamination. This demonstrates that the new scheme is able to perform at least as well as the existing scheme in normal conditions, while showing better skill at rejecting outliers. A more interesting case In contrast to the above example, in the following case

basis, at a price which is lawful, profitable and which the customer is willing to pay. 4.4. Standard prices and standard pricing structures are reviewed at least annually, at which time they may be updated and reissued. Longer-term contracts and related pricing are typically reviewed and updated

have been relatively high in parts of the Central Arctic. However, uncertainty is substantial. Given the very mild weather during winter, at least part of the apparently higher ice thickness may be associated with the relatively muted ice melt of the preceding summer. Figure 6. Arctic sea ice