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represent the small-scale behaviour seen in the atmosphere, in particular atmospheric convection – a key process driving many of our extreme weather events. Due to the high spatial resolution, compared to more traditional climate models, it also represents better the influence of mountains, coastlines

Outlook for global climate in the coming years

. These high global temperatures are consistent with continued high levels of greenhouse gases. Introduction Decadal forecasts are designed to predict fluctuations in the climate system over the next few years. They take into account natural variability as well as human influences. This is achieved

Clarity Helping you understand the facts about weather forecasting Forecasting the weather is essential to help you prepare for the best and the worst of our climate. Met Office forecasters work 24/7, 365 days of the year, using one of the world’s largest supercomputers to predict the weather

Global: Monthly Climate Outlook October to July Issued: January 2024 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Global: October to July Overview MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook – Temperature MENA, Caribbean

Global: Monthly Climate Outlook January to October Issued: April 2023 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Global: January to October Overview MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook – Temperature MENA, Caribbean

-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: January to October Overview 4 Global Outlook - Temperature Outlook: 3-Month Outlook May to July - Temperature ENSO is now neutral and will have minimal influence on global temperatures through this period. Consistent

Asia: Monthly Climate Outlook June to March Issued: September 2024 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Asia: June to March Overview Asia Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Asia Current Status and Outlook – Rainfall Global Outlook – Temperature

Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: November to August Overview 4 Global Outlook - Temperature Outlook: 3-Month Outlook March to May - Temperature The influence of La Niña is likely to reduce further over the next three months, as the El Niño Southern

, wetter winters and hotter drier summers, which will influence the release of pollen into the atmosphere. Yolanda added: “We’re already seeing an impact on the pollen season as a result of climate change. Some species are having longer seasons, some are starting earlier and some are more severe. We’re