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the north of the UK – including large mature trees – leading to major disruption. The unusual direction of the strongest winds - northerly as oppose to prevailing westerly – may have been an additional factor influencing the number of trees brought down. More than one million homes experienced

Outlook for global climate in the coming years

levels of greenhouse gases. Introduction Decadal forecasts are designed to predict fluctuations in the climate system over the next few years. They take into account natural variability as well as human influences. This is achieved by initialising climate models with observations of the current

and almost zero in coupled simulations. (box 6) • Is the weak surface solar feedback closely related to the weak NSHF standard deviations? • Does the strong latent heat feedback generate strong zonal pressure gradients (Lindzen & Nigam 1987) and influence recharging of the warm water pool ? • Can

, November continues 2022’s run of every month being warmer than average, with the first 11 months of the year the warmest on record for the UK.  Mike Kendon of the National Climate Information Centre said: “Although it’s too early to guarantee that 2022 will be the UK’s warmest year, the first 11 months

in turn influence the choice of analysis techniques for deriving the LTAs. The choice of variables was determined largely by the requirements of the Met Office to produce climate summaries for the UK (in which monthly statistics are placed into historical context through a comparison with climate

European Circulation Indices: Jet Stream Position and Strength Introduction to UKCP European Circulation Indices This is one of a series of factsheets that describe a set of indices representing large-scale drivers of UK weather and climate in UKCP Global (60km) - a product from the latest UK

and a verification process.   2022 will also be the warmest year on record in the 364-year Central England temperature series from 1659, the world’s longest instrumental record of temperature.  Dr Mark McCarthy is the head of the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre. He said: “2022 is going

Factsheet 4 of 6 Version date: Mar 2021 Risk management of climate thresholds and irreversible change: Tropical forests What is the nature of the threshold? Various processes can cause thresholds and irreversible change in tropical forests 1 . In the fire-vegetation feedback, loss of forest allows

ice extent has been declining at an average rate of over 12% per decade since satellite records began (Fig 1) (1) , and is one of the most rapidly changing components of the global climate system. If the Arctic Ocean becomes seasonally ice-free 1 , this would happen first in September when Arctic sea

ice extent has been declining at an average rate of over 12% per decade since satellite records began (Fig 1) (1) , and is one of the most rapidly changing components of the global climate system. If the Arctic Ocean becomes seasonally ice-free 1 , this would happen first in September when Arctic sea