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, and all results are for RCP8.5. The orange dots and light blue dots represent the sets of GC3.05 and CMIP5 projections respectively. Two example models selected from the set of 28 global projections are shown in red and dark blue. From figure 2.14 of Lowe et al (2018). How to use joint probability plots

and showers moving north and east through the day. Some of these showers will be heavy at times, particularly in southern and eastern areas. However, there will also be drier and brighter intervals, offering some respite from the wet weather. Winds will be light to moderate for most but could become

A band of low cloud and patchy light rain or drizzle will move southeastwards across Northern Ireland and western Scotland during the day, gradually extending into Wales, northern England and parts of the southwest. Behind this, brighter conditions will develop with sunny spells and a scattering

A band of low cloud and patchy light rain or drizzle will move southeastwards across Northern Ireland and western Scotland during the day, gradually extending into Wales, northern England and parts of the southwest. Behind this, brighter conditions will develop with sunny spells and a scattering

of sunshine, particularly across Wales and the southwest. READ MORE: Met Office festival forecast: Cooler temperatures and risk of showers Warmer and drier for some by Friday Friday begins with cloud and patchy rain across western Scotland and Northern Ireland. This rain will be mostly light

low cloud throughout the day. Winds will be light to moderate for most, although a strong and gusty easterly breeze is forecast across southwestern areas. This may bring a fresher feel to parts of Devon and Cornwall, despite the sunshine. Temperatures will again be very warm or hot in the west

risk of isolated showers or thunderstorms across northern areas, mainly Scotland, during the morning. For most, it will be a fine, hot and sunny day with light winds. Cloud will build in the southeast later, bringing an increasing risk of showers and elevated thunderstorms, particularly overnight

. Otherwise, it will be a fine day with light winds and a fair amount of sunshine in many areas, although freezing fog patches could persist in a few places.  How long the more settled, colder conditions will last is uncertain, with rain probably returning to westernmost areas at least by the end of the week

is likely to enjoy a mostly fine day with hazy sunshine. Winds will remain light, occasionally moderate to fresh along coasts. Temperatures will range from rather cool in the northwest to rather warm, locally warm, in the southeast. READ MORE: How to stay safe and cool in the heat Met Office

, possibly with embedded thunderstorms, across some southwestern parts. These will gradually break up into showers, persisting for much of the day. Most other regions will see variable cloud and a scattering of mainly light showers, with the chance of a moderate shower near southern coasts. Cloud and patchy