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Copyright Met Office 29 Event at: xxxxxx Page 2 of 2 Date of event: 12 th June 2016 Rainfall Stations used in assessment. Station Distance (miles) & Direction 09/06/20 16 10/06/20 16 11/06/20 16 12/06/20 16 MISERDEN PARK 6.8 S 0 0.8 2.8 25.8 DOWDESWELL RSERVOIR NO 2 2.6 E 0 4.0 5.6 27.8 EBWORTH 5.9 SSW

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, with changes of the order +/- 1.5 m/s in places (not shown). The direction of change in future wave climate is consistent, with the mean SWH seen to reduce in both configurations. Stronger changes are seen in the regional model than the global model. Additional simulations under RCP4.5 (not shown) show

governmental organisations) ▶▶ Level of resources and expertise in the organisation(s) ▶▶ Perceived advantage of using forecasts and warnings particularly in the private sector ▶▶ Ability to develop specific products in regions where forecasts and warnings reliability is higher (e.g. tropics) ▶▶

believe the forecast(s) to be, based on feedback from market research. Comparative accuracy refers to how accurate the Met Office is compared to other weather providers, and this can be judged via actual accuracy measures or and perceived accuracy measures. However, the definitive comparison is based

fishers of looming danger but sometim es it crows and the wind does not change Sam (small flies) Bad – proceed s a strong wind Low wave Good Good height High wave Dangerous Bad height No rain Good Good How do they obtain this information? water cold, which reduces the catch) Bad Bad Irrelevant - Good

for Robusta cultivation may expand in some central parts. • Tree crops in the west offer high potential for food security up to 2030. • Significant risks to water and grazing options (Cameroon). • Substantial increase in heat stress and other heat-related risks (S. Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea

and working change almost overnight, with uncertainty and disruption affecting us in ways we could never have predicted. Two examples of COVID-19’s impact on Met Office operations spring to mind. Firstly, due to reduced aircraft flying, there were fewer observations to feed into the Numerical Weather

of 1978. Upavon, Clee Hill and Hameldon Hill were in place by 1980. 31. Launched on 23 November 1977 32. Different types of buoys were tested throughout the 1970’s An example of early global NWP forecast output The Unified Model The next step for NWP was the development of the Unified Model in 1990

represents how well the weather forecast at a particular location represents the true weather conditions observed at that location. Perceived accuracy represents how accurate Met Office users/customers believe the forecast(s) to be, based on feedback from market research. Comparative accuracy refers