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• How accurate are our public forecasts?

  that grow as the forecast runs further into the future, and however good our observations, we can never know every detail of current conditions. Therefore, relying on ensemble modelling, where we run many simulations from very slightly different starting conditions, is much better than just one run

• Malcolm_Roberts_ppt.pptx

  HighResMIP saves 150 years from spinup (cheaper, so also more possible for higher resolution models) Historic SST trend patterns • As part of CMIP, we’re very interested in being able to reproduce the global surface temperature evolution between 1850-present • However, for impacts we need to know regional

• Radiative transfer in the atmosphere

  of atmospheric constituents may vary rapidly with frequency and the geometrical arrangement of clouds is an important influence on the radiation budget. The modelling of atmospheric radiation is therefore potentially very complicated and must involve some  approximations to be efficient enough for weather

• wiser0191_sub_national_cx_cafe_kisumu250919.pdf

  of sweet potatoes with over 3,000 members. He said they have collection centres through which they send down climate information down to their members who are the farmers. Muga emphasized that climate information is very vital to their operations because as a developing country many farmers ibn Kenya

• 2025 is double-record breaker: UK’s warmest and sunniest year on record

   record set in 2022, in a series dating back to 1884.   “We’re increasingly seeing UK temperatures break new ground in our changing climate, as demonstrated by a new highest UK mean temperature record just three years after the last record.   “This very warm year is in line with expected consequences

• high-impact-low-likelihood-scenarios-for-the-uk-background-report.pdf

  rise 34 Figure 4.16 Causal relation between processes leading to a high-end contribution of Antarctica to sea level rise 35 Figure 4.17 Increase in sea level around the UK under low and very high emissions relative to the 1981-2000 mean 38 Figure 4.18 Illustration of the application of scenarios

• high-impact-low-likelihood-scenarios-for-the-uk-background-reportpdf

  rise 34 Figure 4.16 Causal relation between processes leading to a high-end contribution of Antarctica to sea level rise 35 Figure 4.17 Increase in sea level around the UK under low and very high emissions relative to the 1981-2000 mean 38 Figure 4.18 Illustration of the application of scenarios

• Met Office forecast for FA Cup Finals

  breeze possible along eastern coasts. Temperatures will feel warm or very warm inland, though cooler conditions may persist near the coast. Temperatures in London are expected to peak at 22°C on Saturday and 21°C on Sunday, meaning fans will need to prepare for warm conditions during the matches

• Briefing on Arctic and Antarctic sea ice - June 2019

  conditions in the Arctic following a record-warm May, and a very mild winter (albeit less mild than the preceding three winters). Winter 2018-2019 was less mild than the last three winters in the Arctic, but still much warmer than the 1981-2010 average. Evidence from satellite measurements and models

• space_weather_impacts.pdf

  The likelihood Although passengers and crew in flight during an extreme solar radiation event would receive an additional dose of radiation the increase cancer risk from one of these events is only 0.1%. There are very few high latitude flights made from the UK as these routes are typically made