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million square km below the 1981-2010 average, and only 0.09 million square km above the lowest value for this date, which occurred in 2012 (Figure 1). Figure 1. Daily Arctic sea ice extent since April 2019, compared with recent years and the 1981-2010 average with ± 1 and 2 standard deviation

been proposed, meaning that there could be a domino effect of tipping points (Fig. 2). These issues make assessing the likelihood of crossing a threshold under different emissions scenarios challenging. What kind of advice does the Met Office plan to offer? The Met Office aims to develop advice

times a day. The model’s initial state is kept close to the real atmosphere by starting from a downscaled global starting condition. Surface Level Parameters Time steps Grib code 1. 1.5m temperature Hourly 11 2. 1.5m dew point Hourly 17 3. 1.5m visibility Hourly 20 4. 1.5m specific humidity Hourly 51 5

of significant funds to international development partners on behalf FCDO. Over the last five years, WISER has made substantial and sustained improvements to the quality, accessibility, and use of weather and climate services across East Africa and the Sahel. WISER Phase 1 ran from 2016-2017. WISER Phase 2

generation models, e.g. forest fire. The main areas that could exhibit thresholds are also some of the most inaccessible regions of the globe. Interconnectivity between different tipping points has also been proposed, meaning that there could be a domino effect of tipping points (Fig 2

been proposed, meaning that there could be a domino effect of tipping points (Fig. 2). These issues make assessing the likelihood of crossing a threshold under different emissions scenarios challenging. What kind of advice does the Met Office plan to offer? The Met Office aims to develop advice

Presentation title - edit in Header and Footer Cumulative rate/million population Seasonality of infection 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 2 per. Mov. Avg. (RURAL) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (URBAN) 1 0.5 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 Week of onset 14 Presentation title - edit

Gwirio ffeithiau am ragolygon y tywydd Ystod oedran: 11-14 Sut gallwn ni wneud y rhagolygon am y tywydd a'u cyfathrebu nhw? www.metoffice.gov.uk | 2 © Hawlfraint y Goron 2019, Y Swyddfa Dywydd Astudiaeth achos: Enwi storm neu beidio? Roedd rhagolygon y tywydd wedi rhagweld y byddai’n wlyb a gwyntog

Assessment Reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), with 2 Lead Authors, 2 Coordinating Lead Authors, and 1 Review editor for the latest report, AR6. • Publishing more than 2,377 peer-reviewed articles in scientific literature since 1990, with 100 articles published in 2019 so far

.Exeter> New fire model is able to capture Tropical Forest - Savanah – Tropical Forest transition • Better quantify CO 2 and CH 4 budgets for Brazil • Gain an understanding of natural and anthropogenic carbon and methane fluxes to aid national reporting and mitigation planning • Improved assessment