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• Our changing weather patterns: a tale of abrupt transitions

  the north-west African coast are currently comparable to values more typical for July. Winds will continue to tap into this area of warmth, briefly drawing modified air north into southern and western parts of UK. This tropical-sourced air is being forced to rise as it comes up against the blocked pattern

• caa_verification_202410-october.pdf

  % 94.2% 12-month rolling mean 95.9% 95.9% 95.8% 95.6% TAF timeliness Objective: To ensure airlines and pilots have timely access to TAFs. Reliable provision of TAFs are important to airlines and pilots, to ensure they are fully briefed on the expected weather conditions at an airport upon arrival

• PowerPoint Presentation

  information and indices (e.g. heatwaves, drought risks) 4. Conclusions and headline impacts (may also be communicated as an infographic) a) Summary of projected changes in key hazards b) Can be visualized by sector, hazard, or by region c) Brief discussion of roles of mitigation and adaptation to address

• Why has it been so rainy?

  much of January.  This means we’re likely to see a renewal of the familiar cycle of low-pressure systems moving in from the west, bringing further spells of wind and rain. Even if there are brief quieter periods, current signals suggest they may be short-lived.  Keep up to date with weather warnings

• Warmer weather is on the way, but will there be a heatwave?

  and how widespread the warmest conditions will be. This uncertainty means that while some locations may briefly flirt with higher temperatures, a consistent and widespread heat signal is not evident at this stage. Not a repeat of late May It is important to emphasise that this setup is very different

• Weekend weather forecast: north–south split with rising temperatures

  across southern areas on Monday and Tuesday. These will be hit-and-miss in nature but could bring brief downpours and gusty winds. Northern areas are likely to remain closer to average for the time of year, with temperatures in the high teens or low 20s. The extent to which the heat spreads northwards

• caa_verification_202406-june.pdf

  rolling mean 96.0% 96.0% 95.9% 95.9% TAF timeliness Objective: To ensure airlines and pilots have timely access to TAFs. Reliable provision of TAFs are important to airlines and pilots, to ensure they are fully briefed on the expected weather conditions at an airport upon arrival. Around 280 TAFs per day

• September 2012 Sea Ice Outlook

  ) Estimate of Forecast Skill The quoted uncertainty associated with our projection is based solely on the spread of the members of the forecast ensemble. However this is not the only source of uncertainty, and here we briefly discuss some other aspects of the performance of the forecasting system

• September 2012 Sea Ice Outlook

  of the forecast ensemble. However this is not the only source of uncertainty, and here we briefly discuss some other aspects of the performance of the forecasting system. Peterson et al (submitted) provides a fuller discussion. The correlation between the hindcasts and observations is 0.63, which

• Met Office weather warnings: How and why they are issued

  . These warnings are color-coded (yellow, amber, or red) based on the severity of the weather and the likelihood of its impacts. Each warning includes the following sections: Headline: A brief statement indicating the type of weather expected. What to Expect: Details on the potential impacts