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Wettest October on record for eastern Scotland

and December, areas of the UK will likely see more days with rainfall totals over 50mm, but particularly in the west.  Mild month for some Despite the wet weather, temperatures have generally remained above average for the month, with southern England the warmest compared to average – typically between 1.5

Microsoft Word - NEB_ll_2021

as probabilities for upper and lower tercile categories which are equiprobable over a representative climatology period (1961-1990 in this case). Probability forecasts are also presented for two outer quintile categories (representing rainfall totals above and below the outer quintiles for 1981-2010

Met Office 10-Day Trend: A notable shift in direction

and regional contrasts The forecast highlights the risk of heavy rain, especially for northwest England, Northern Ireland, southern Scotland, and parts of Wales. Persistent rain in these areas means that rainfall totals could build up quickly, and there is some uncertainty about the exact position

How accurate was the Met Office’s summer forecasting?

and complexities of what the UK weather can throw at us. I’m particularly pleased to see the accuracy around the temperature figures, especially given the importance of this as we experience more frequent and prolonged heatwave events.”  How useful were weather warnings during summer 2025?  A total

ukcp18-headline-findings-2.pdf

% wetter than 1981-2010 and 20% wetter than the 1961-1990 average. However, very long-period natural variations are also seen in the longer observational record. � � Total rainfall from extremely wet days (days exceeding the 99 th percentile of the 1961-1990 rainfall) has increased by around 17

excalibur-newsletter-june2021.pdf

Priorities Fund (SPF) with total funding of £46m from October 2019 to March 2025. It is delivered in partnership between UKRI Research Councils (led by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)) and the department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Public Sector

Seeing the bigger picture: How satellite data shapes Met Office forecasts

for meteorological purposes. By measuring the delay in signal arrival caused by water vapour in the atmosphere, we can estimate the total water vapour content along the signal’s path. This information is particularly valuable for identifying areas of deep moisture that can trigger thunderstorms

The influence of climate change on severe weather

climate change signal resulting from increased atmospheric moisture is an important secondary factor. Rainfall totals on the wettest days have increased, this is more strongly linked to climate change. In the future, climate projections for the UK indicate there being a greater risk of heavy

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