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at Carnwath (South Lanarkshire) on 11 January 1982. Unusually cold weather was experienced in the last week of December 1995 with, for example, a minimum temperature of -20 °C and a maximum of -12 °C at Glasgow airport on 29th. These very cold conditions coincided with the Christmas/New Year

could not be tracked. Mawar (02W) 20 May-03 June 905 mb, 160/115 knots Track forecast errors were mostly below the recent mean. Some forecasts had large errors due to a left-of-track bias. Guchol (03W) 06-12 June 970 mb, 90/75 knots Track forecast errors were very low for this typhoon. Talim (04W) 14

that the Cabinet Office highly valued this service, and that the importance of this service was understated. UK citizens abroad have an expectation that the UK Government will look after them if they caught up in severe events so these weather forecasts are very important. SB proposed that it should

of the Government User Panel and Governance Board member for UKCP18. I remember very clearly my very first UKCP09 meeting with Roger Street from UKCIP back in 2006. I was utterly bemused and sat there asking how we expected users to get to grips with Bayesian statistics and 10,000 member ensembles

for contamination of the measurement by this non-weather-related factor. The Met Office works closely with collaborating organisations who host or manage weather stations on our behalf. The observing site at Motherwell makes a very valuable contribution to our observing network, and the rejection

as Storms Ciara, Dennis and Jorge boosted totals, making February 2020 the wettest February on record. “However, Spring 2020 has been very dry, and May in parts of England has been exceptionally dry. As it stands up to May 27, for England, May 2020 is the driest May on record since 1896, with less than

hazard events for validation • We develop a statistical model to represent the relevant properties of the hazard footprint, allowing for very quick simulation of synthetic events • Hazard losses are sensitive to the dependency between extreme values of the hazard variable at different spatial

. Worryingly one in six (16%) motorists say they, at best, check their oil level only every six months and a similar number (17%) check their coolant level at this long interval – two key DIY steps that could have a big impact on whether or not your car breaks down and can lead to very costly repairs

on the atmosphere potentially raising the average global temperature; very likely to a new global record this year or next. There are anticipated impacts in regions adjacent to the Pacific; notably southeast Asia and eastern Australia, where we could see drier than average conditions which could

be very warm, temperatures are expected to be slightly lower than Saturday’s peak. Sunny spells will continue through the day, though there will be more cloud cover at times, particularly in the afternoon. These conditions should provide a more comfortable environment for players and fans alike, with less