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of Wales, where there is a significant risk of heavy, thundery downpours. Rainfall totals could reach 25 to 35mm in just an hour, with up to 60mm possible over a few hours. These conditions may lead to localised flash flooding, accompanied by frequent lightning and hail. A warning has been issued

L5 operational science François-Xavier Bocquet, Edmund Henley, Sophie Murray, David Jackson 13 May 2015 Many thanks for useful input from many others in the Met Office space weather research & forecasting teams; Masha Kuznetsova & CCMC colleagues; Matt Owens & Reading U. colleagues; Claire Foullon

looks fairly cloudy overall, with some bright or sunny spells and a scattering of showers. A developing area of low pressure may begin to affect the southwest later in the day, although there is still some uncertainty around its evolution. Most areas should remain dry, but showers are possible

are not expected to be exceptional, some areas, particularly those that have already seen significant rainfall this month, may be sensitive to further impacts. It’s a good idea to stay up to date with the latest warnings and advisories. Early next week: a brief settled spell for some Looking beyond the weekend

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Volume 9, Special issue May, 2016 Assessment of Potential Changes in Hydrologically Relevant Rainfall Statistics over the Sondu River Basin in Kenya Under a Changing Climate Rwigi, Stephen Kibe, Nzioka John Muthama, Alfred Owour Opere and Franklin Joseph Opijah Department of Meteorology, University

and in the face of increasing challenges. CCS to take this back to teams within their department. By 31 st May By 30 th June 3. LM & AB The EA and Met Office to share resources on work investigating communication of warnings. 4. LM Met Office to consider how to link up more widely with a range of partner

of global impacts that may impact the PWS deliverables. c. Independent Member’s update (KS) The Media and Reach Group (MARG) is growing in membership and providing strong impact and advice to the wider customer group and reiterated that the Citizens Engagement Strategy has been an important

Friday will begin with rain across parts of the south-west, some of which may be heavy or thundery at times. A yellow weather warning for rain has been issued until 12pm. This rain will gradually spread eastwards across other southern areas during the morning, before clearing away early

issued a Level 2 Cold weather alert for the coming weekend and Dr Thomas Waite, a Consultant in Health Protection at Public Health England, said: “The weather has felt much milder for the last week or so but this weekend the forecasters tell us it will get much colder again. And that may come