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• jcliD1300717 5259..5284

  are presented to help understand the spatial patterns across the entire province. The analysis shows that there is likely to be a significant warming trend throughout the twenty-first century. It also suggests that people in Ontario are very likely to suffer a change greater than 28C to mean

• october-2001-rain---met-office.pdf

  on the 19 October 2001 to 0900Z on the 20 October 2001. Please note: The empirical relationship between radar reflectivity and rainfall rate is fixed whereas in reality this is highly dependent on precipitation type and is very different for rain and hail. Lightning map Below is a lightning map

• Derby Day Thunderstorm 31 May 1911

  in 17 people being killed along with 4 horses. The thunderstorms across South East England slowly died away during the evening and here it turned rather misty. Winds generally were light and from the southeast. Temperatures were above the late May average generally and very warm, locally hot

• An unsettled weekend to come

  exceeding 75 mph at times. These conditions could result in travel disruption and affect outdoor activities. Please check the latest warnings on the Met Office website and app.  Very strong winds will affect northern and western Scotland overnight, with gusts possibly in excess of 75 mph at times

• Colder conditions to come for the UK

  on 6th January to 12 noon on 9th January. Temperatures are likely to be below average especially overnight with much more overnight frost than of late. Ice is likely to be an issue given the very wet ground in most areas.  Cold established Steven Keates is a Met Office Deputy Chief Forecaster. He

• Storm Floris named as strong winds and heavy rain forecast

  but remaining very strong until early Tuesday in the east of the warning area.   The 2024-2025 storm naming season so far  Storm Floris is the sixth named storm of the 2024/2025 Storm Naming season. Storm Éowyn – which occurred in late January – was the last named storm to affect the UK.   Although

• The Met Office ensemble system

  forecasting which can cause errors in the forecast, including: the starting conditions the forecast model The starting conditions The future evolution of the atmosphere is very sensitive to small errors in the analysis that we use to start the forecast. To start an ensemble forecast we first make

• UKCP18_marine_info

  cm 40 cm 11cm 20 cm 20 cm 8cm 20 cm 20 cm BELFAST 0 cm CARDIFF 0 cm EDINBURGH 0 cm LONDON 0 cm *RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 are the low and high emission scenarios used, as in IPCC AR5. The range is very likely (5th-95th percentile). Sea level change (m) 5 4 3 2 1 High emission scenario Low emission scenario

• Numerical Weather Prediction model data

  for very short-range forecasting. The current weather is mapped and then an estimate of its speed and direction of movement is used to forecast the weather a short period ahead (assuming the weather will move without significant changes). It takes time to gather and map weather observations, so

• Mixed weather into the weekend

  in Wales and central England on Saturday morning, but a dry and bright weekend with plenty of sunshine is the main theme of the forecast in the south through the weekend. Pollen levels are also expected to be high or very high in the south of the UK through this weekend, according to the Met Office pollen