An unsettled period on the horizon
Turning unsettled again as we move through the weekend, then, ex-Hurricane Kirk likely reaching northwest Europe from midweek and potentially bringing disrupti…
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England | Environment Agency |
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Cloud and rain edging east overnight.
Rain arriving from the west across Northern Ireland, western Scotland, Wales, southern and western England, heavy at first. Clear spells elsewhere. Breezy, and perhaps briefly very windy in the southwest. A milder night for all than recent nights.
Mostly cloudy. Rain at times, the rain turning locally heavy from the southwest. Early brightness in the east and northeast, then later across Northern Ireland, Wales and southwest England. Breezy.
Sunshine and heavy showers for many, with more persistent rain at times in the far north and northeast. Rather blustery. Perhaps turning very wet and windy in the south mid-week.
Updated:
The forecast period looks most likely to be mostly unsettled, with frequent bouts of wind and rain associated with areas of low pressure. There remains a threat of ex-Hurricane Kirk bringing very wet and windy conditions to some parts of the UK, especially the south, although the centre of this system looks most likely to track across northern France. Scotland and Northern Ireland are more likely to turn colder with showers from Wednesday, the colder weather (perhaps some snow on Scottish mountains) then gradually working its way south by the end of the week. Perhaps turning a little more settled for some areas as we head into next weekend, although detail by this stage is very low confidence.
Updated:
A continuation of low pressure systems tracking in from the Atlantic is the most likely scenario for the rest of October. This means wet and windy weather at times, especially across England and Wales, but with a suggestion that Scotland and Northern Ireland may be more likely to see longer breaks in the weather, and more in the way of drier spells. It is possible that these drier conditions could be seen more widely later in the month as higher pressure further north extends southwards for a time. This would also bring an increased chance of overnight fog and frost. Temperatures will tend to be close to average overall in the south, but probably below average in the north and northwest.
Updated: