UK weather

Headline:

Dry to start with cloud and rain arriving later.

Today:

Largely dry with sunny spells and light winds to start. Cloud thickens from the southwest through the day, bringing outbreaks of mainly light rain into Wales and southwest England. Feeling warmer in the sunshine and light winds.

Tonight:

Cloud and rain edge northeast overnight, some heavy bursts and stronger winds mixed in. A much milder night than recently, becoming very mild in the southwest by dawn.

Monday:

Cloud, drizzle and outbreaks of rain move slowly east through the day, with extensive low cloud. Breezy and generally mild, while heavier rain reaches the northwest later.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Heavy rain and strong winds clear east on Tuesday, with brighter, cooler conditions following. Wednesday is largely dry and bright, before cloud, rain and strengthening winds return on Thursday.

Some rain at first across the far southeast of England on Friday, before high pressure brings settled and cooler weather through the weekend. Winds will be mainly light, but could still be breezy on some hills and coasts. High pressure is also likely to hold on into the working week, with fair weather with variable cloud amounts looking likely to prevail. Any low pressure systems running across the North Atlantic will likely be blocked and deflected towards Iceland, but some frontal incursions may make it through to bring some rain at times to parts of northern Britain. Temperatures look to be around normal for the time of year, with foggy or frosty mornings expected in the usual prone areas.

The rest of October and early November will probably maintain a changeable pattern overall, with areas of low pressure often passing close to, if not across, the UK from the North Atlantic. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely at times, with the wettest and windiest weather typically in the west and northwest, with drier conditions favoured in southern and eastern parts. A trend to more widely unsettled conditions is possible into November. Whilst some occasional colder interludes will be possible at times, temperatures are likely to be near or a little above average for the period as a whole.