Weather and climate change

Headline:

Further wet and windy weather ahead. Some snow in north.

This Evening and Tonight:

Rain, some heavy will spread northwards to affect much of southern England and Wales overnight. Rain and hill snow will also affect central and eastern parts of Scotland. Drier, though cloudy elsewhere. Rather windy with some frost in the north.

Tuesday:

Tuesday looks mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain, heaviest in the south and southwest. Some snow is likely across central and eastern Scotland. A few brighter breaks in the northwest.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

The weather will remain unsettled. There will be brief bright spells. However, most areas will have further wet, at times rather windy weather, with some snow, mostly on northern hills.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Mon 2 Feb 2026

Frontal systems over the Atlantic, steered by a south-shifted jet stream, are likely to approach the UK at times, but tending to stall as they encounter a blocking area of high pressure to the north and northeast. This will result in further spells of rain at times, falling in areas already sensitive to flooding. As these bands of rain spread northwards, some snow will be possible in northern England and Scotland, mainly over higher ground, as they encounter colder air. A subtle shift southwards of these areas of low pressure is anticipated during the second week of February, which may allow a greater chance of colder air to spread across larger parts of the UK at times, including the south, bringing an increased risk of wintry hazards.

Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Mon 2 Feb 2026

Whilst confidence is inevitably low through this period, a south-shifted jet stream is likely to persist for much of the time, steering areas of low pressure towards and south of the UK. This is likely to bring further spells of wet and windy weather, with rain most frequent in the south and west, and perhaps also eastern Scotland, with the driest conditions, relative to normal, in northwest Scotland. Some hill snow will be possible at times as the wet weather encounters colder air across northern parts of the UK. There is a hint that storm systems may start to track a little further north by March though. Temperatures overall will likely be close to average for most parts, but perhaps a little below in the northeast at first.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Mon 2 Feb 2026