UK weather

Headline:

Wet and windy in the northwest today. Warm sunshine elsewhere.

Today:

Scotland, Northern Ireland, northwest England and northwest Wales will have a windy day with showery outbreaks of rain, this turning heavy and persistent at times. After a chilly start elsewhere, it will be mostly dry with some warm sunshine developing.

Tonight:

A weakening band of rain will move southeastwards into England and Wales overnight. Clear spells and a few showers to the northwest. Clear spells and fog patches in the southeast.

Saturday:

Some rain across the north and west of Scotland on Saturday, and some showers affecting central and southwest England and southeast Wales. Otherwise fine with some warm spells of sunshine.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Windy with rain in the north and northwest on Sunday. Mostly fine elsewhere. Rather cloudy on Monday with patchy rain. Further rain in the northwest on Tuesday, moving slowly southeast.

A band of cloud and increasingly patchy rain will likely come south early in the period with a ridge of high pressure then bringing a spell of mostly dry and fresher conditions, some chilly nights possible. Broadly changeable weather patterns look to continue through to the middle of October with areas of low pressure most likely to pass to the northwest of the UK with higher pressure across the south. So further rain and strong winds at times, mainly focused across the northwest, while southern areas see more in the way of dry weather. Temperatures close to or rather above average on the whole, but still scope for some unseasonably warm weather across the south.

The second half of October will probably maintain a changeable pattern overall with showers or longer spells of rain often moving in from the Atlantic. This means the wettest and at times windiest weather is more likely in the west and northwest, and relatively drier conditions more likely towards the south and east. With a westerly type considered most likely, this would support temperatures remaining close to or a little above average overall. However, there is a chance that more slowly evolving weather patterns develop, which could either lead to longer drier spells more widely or rainfall accumulating in climatologically drier areas.