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Areas of expertise Statistical modelling Data science Extreme value analysis Forecast verification Seasonal forecasting Climate projection Publications by Dr Philip Sansom Current activity Phil is a senior statistical scientist in the Industry Science & Consultancy team.  He works closely

relief for gardeners and farmers hoping for rain, but it may dampen plans for the bank holiday weekend and half-term break.  It's been an exceptionally dry, sunny and warm May so far but there is now a sign of a change by the end of May. Here's Aidan with the 10 day weather forecast 👇 — Met Office

of meteorology must start with mention of the great Greek philosopher Aristotle (384 BC–322 BC). While may of his ideas in relation to meteorology were somewhat wide of the mark he can be credited with coining the term ‘meteorology’ which derives from the Greek words meteoron ‘thing high up’ and logia

on Saturday. Elsewhere will see temperatures widely into the high 20s and low 30s Celsius.   “Coupled with the high daytime temperatures there will be some warm nights, with temperatures expected not to drop below the low 20s Celsius for some areas in the south.”  National Highways Head of Road Safety

in Southern Africa) project, Josh works with state-of-the-art high-resolution climate models, analysing historic tropical cyclones and re-modelling their formation and impacts in warmer climates. To prepare for the evolving uncertainties of tropical cyclones due to climate change, his research supports

in England and Wales following a climatic warming', this won the AGI student of the year award and is surprisingly relevant for the work he is doing now. Neil obtained an MSc in GIS at the University of Leicester which gave him the foundation of knowledge for his subsequent career.

October 2018 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1981-2010. October began with high pressure over the south, but a westerly flow affected central and northern areas, bringing relatively changeable weather to much of Scotland. The second week was unseasonably warm due

at the Met Office and University of Exeter. He said: “1.5 °C warming doesn’t represent a point where sudden changes will be initiated in the climate system. Staying below it is a target. But the greater the warming, the more severe the impacts of climate change will be. “If we could manage to lower

modelling team, Tim is currently working on analysis of multi-model climate change experiments completed in the European Union ENSEMBLES project, which included simulations with two versions of the Unified Model. He is interested in understanding and reducing modelling uncertainties in projected

and into practical seasonal to annual long-range forecasting and predictability. He also contributes to the regular seasonal long-range forecasts. He has a number of international collaborations, particularly with USA, South Korea, Australia, China and Sweden. Chris's current work is focused